WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Boulter vs Golubic 2:0: result and our tips

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Katie BoulterWTA #58Elo 1831hard 1804
2:0final6:2 6:1
Viktorija GolubicWTA #82Elo 1830hard 1790

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Boulter 12 of 20, Golubic 14 of 20 (tour average 56%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Boulter 11 of 20, Golubic 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Katie Boulter50%
Viktorija Golubic50%

Elo: K. Boulter 52% · V. Golubic 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Boulter31%
2:1 K. Boulter19%
2:1 V. Golubic19%
2:0 V. Golubic31%

First set

Katie Boulter50%
Viktorija Golubic50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,277 matches

Games handicap

Katie Boulter −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Katie BoulterViktorija Golubic
1Aces0
3Double faults0
62%First serves in64%
89%First-serve points won48%
53%Second-serve points won58%
4/4Break points converted0/1
8/8Service games held3/7
76%Service points won52%
49%Return points won24%
50Total points won28

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. BoulterTourV. Golubic
Service points won56%56%55%
Return points won43%44%46%
Service games held66%63%63%
Breaks of serve35%37%43%
Aces per service game0.220.09
Double faults per game0.510.24
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won5/103/13
Wins in straight sets56%53%
Matches in the sample4455

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Katie Boulter

Viktorija Golubic

Elo over the last year

Katie BoulterViktorija Golubic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. BoulterV. Golubic
Hard court15–1256%17–1553%
Clay5–645%8–562%
Grass3–350%7–370%

Head to head

K. Boulter 1–1 V. Golubic

  • 04/02/26Winner: Katie Boulter6:2 6:2
  • 05/03/19Winner: Viktorija Golubic4:6 3:6

Road through the tournament

Katie Boulter

Viktorija Golubic