Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets

Cadenasso vs Giunta 0:2: result and our tips

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Gianluca CadenassoATP #220Elo 1721clay 1716
0:2final6:7(9) 5:7
Massimo GiuntaATP #390Elo 1602clay 1581

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gianluca Cadenasso63%
Massimo Giunta37%

Elo: G. Cadenasso 69% · M. Giunta 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Cadenasso41%
2:1 G. Cadenasso23%
2:1 M. Giunta16%
2:0 M. Giunta21%

First set

Gianluca Cadenasso60%
Massimo Giunta40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%68%
19.564%36%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.552%48%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,652 matches

Games handicap

Gianluca Cadenasso −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Gianluca CadenassoMassimo Giunta
7Aces5
4Double faults1
63%First serves in56%
77%First-serve points won81%
47%Second-serve points won51%
2/7Break points converted3/4
9/12Service games held10/12
66%Service points won68%
32%Return points won34%
84Total points won91

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. CadenassoTourM. Giunta
Service points won59%62%65%
Return points won43%38%36%
Service games held70%76%82%
Breaks of serve34%24%20%
Aces per service game0.250.53
Double faults per game0.230.21
Sets with a tie-break8%23%
Tie-breaks won4/75/13
Wins in straight sets57%75%
Matches in the sample3924

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gianluca Cadenasso

Massimo Giunta

  • 06/10/26WPierluigi Basile#521Challenger Palermo · R324:6 6:4 6:1
  • 01/10/26LCarlos Taberner#361Challenger Bari · R162:6 2:6
  • 29/09/26WFederico Arnaboldi#478Challenger Bari · R326:3 6:1
  • 15/09/26LMika Brunold#261Challenger Biella · R323:6 6:1 5:7
  • 10/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#136Challenger Genoa · R165:7 3:6
  • 08/09/26WTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Genoa · R326:3 7:6
  • 07/09/26WOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Genoa · Q24:6 7:5 6:3
  • 06/09/26WGiovanni Oradini#675Challenger Genoa · Q17:5 7:6
  • 02/09/26LDusan Obradovic#461Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R166:3 1:6 6:7
  • 31/08/26WFranco Agamenone#378Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:5 6:3

Elo over the last year

Gianluca CadenassoMassimo Giunta

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. CadenassoM. Giunta
Hard court0–06–555%
Clay21–1755%6–746%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Gianluca Cadenasso

Massimo Giunta