Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Cecchinato vs Vives Marcos 0:2: result and our tips

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Marco CecchinatoATP #163Elo 1754clay 1751
0:2final4:6 4:6
Pedro Vives MarcosATP #542Elo 1656clay 1658

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Cecchinato: 11 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Marco Cecchinato67%
Pedro Vives Marcos33%

Elo: M. Cecchinato 63% · P. Vives Marcos 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Cecchinato44%
2:1 M. Cecchinato23%
2:1 P. Vives Marcos14%
2:0 P. Vives Marcos18%

First set

Marco Cecchinato63%
Pedro Vives Marcos37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%29%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%47%
22.544%56%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,286 matches

Games handicap

Marco Cecchinato −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Marco CecchinatoPedro Vives Marcos
2Aces4
4Double faults1
60%First serves in64%
62%First-serve points won74%
50%Second-serve points won54%
1/6Break points converted3/7
7/10Service games held9/10
57%Service points won67%
33%Return points won43%
62Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. CecchinatoTourP. Vives Marcos
Service points won63%62%62%
Return points won39%38%42%
Service games held79%76%78%
Breaks of serve26%24%32%
Aces per service game0.250.33
Double faults per game0.190.28
Sets with a tie-break18%14%
Tie-breaks won16/324/7
Wins in straight sets71%64%
Matches in the sample7622

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Marco Cecchinato

Pedro Vives Marcos

Elo over the last year

Marco CecchinatoPedro Vives Marcos

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. CecchinatoP. Vives Marcos
Hard court1–233%5–456%
Clay44–2861%9–469%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Marco Cecchinato

First match in this tournament.

Pedro Vives Marcos