Cerúndolo vs Alcaraz 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. Cerúndolo 5% · C. Alcaraz 95%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 19.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 82% | 18% | 95% |
| 16.5 | 72% | 28% | 90% |
| 17.5 | 61% | 39% | 83% |
| 18.5 | 49% | 51% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 40% | 61% | 66% |
| 20.5 | 32% | 68% | 58% |
| 21.5 | 25% | 75% | 53% |
Sample: 866 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 36%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 18.5in · 18 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Juan Manuel Cerúndolo | Carlos Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 8 |
| 0 | Double faults | 1 |
| 54% | First serves in | 78% |
| 66% | First-serve points won | 86% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 60% |
| 0/0 | Break points converted | 3/7 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/9 |
| 61% | Service points won | 80% |
| 20% | Return points won | 39% |
| 42 | Total points won | 58 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Cerúndolo | Tour | C. Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 87% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/27 | 13/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 63 | 41 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo
- 08/10/26WNicolas Mejia#119ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:4
- 30/09/26LYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Beijing · R322:6 7:5 4:6
- 26/09/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#26ATP Chengdu · R164:6 4:6
- 24/09/26WYi Zhou#277ATP Chengdu · R326:4 6:3
- 01/09/26LArthur Gea#56ATP US Open · R1283:6 6:2 6:3 3:6 1:6
- 27/08/26LIgnacio Buse#36ATP Winston Salem · QF6:7 6:4 2:6
- 26/08/26WSebastián Báez#53ATP Winston Salem · R166:2 4:0
- 25/08/26WDhakshineswar Suresh#369ATP Winston Salem · R327:6 6:3
- 18/08/26LFelix Auger-Aliassime#5ATP Cincinnati · R325:7 1:6
- 16/08/26WArthur Rinderknech#33ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 7:6 7:6
Carlos Alcaraz
- 06/10/26WJiří Lehečka#16ATP Tokyo · F7:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WJaume Munar#49ATP Tokyo · SF5:7 6:3 6:1
- 04/10/26WDenis Shapovalov#42ATP Tokyo · QF7:6 2:1
- 03/10/26WMatteo Arnaldi#38ATP Tokyo · R167:6 6:1
- 01/10/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Tokyo · R327:6 4:6 6:1
- 09/09/26LBen Shelton#4ATP US Open · QF7:6 1:6 3:6 6:1 6:7
- 06/09/26WTommy Paul#18ATP US Open · R166:4 6:3 6:4
- 04/09/26WYibing Wu#113ATP US Open · R326:3 6:4 6:1
- 03/09/26WJaime Faria#60ATP US Open · R644:6 6:0 6:3 6:2
- 31/08/26WRoman Safiullin#79ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:4 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Cerúndolo | C. Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–955% | 30–586% |
| Clay | 25–1563% | 5–183% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–0 |
Head to head
J. Cerúndolo 0–1 C. Alcaraz
- 11/11/21Winner: Carlos Alcaraz0:4 1:4 4:2 3:4
Road through the tournament
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo
- 08/10/26WNicolas Mejia#119ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:4
Carlos Alcaraz
First match in this tournament.