Cerúndolo vs Menšík 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Cerundolo lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Mensik won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 33% → with the players' profiles 35%
Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Cerundolo 7 of 20, Mensik 9 of 20 (tour average 30%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: F. Cerúndolo 47% · J. Menšík 53%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 47% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 60% | 34% |
Sample: 5,792 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.5in · 26 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Francisco Cerúndolo | Jakub Menšík | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 8 |
| 2 | Double faults | 0 |
| 65% | First serves in | 57% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 85% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 46% |
| 1/7 | Break points converted | 3/5 |
| 10/13 | Service games held | 12/13 |
| 61% | Service points won | 68% |
| 32% | Return points won | 40% |
| 72 | Total points won | 86 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Cerúndolo | Tour | J. Menšík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.34 | 0.81 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/17 | 19/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 49 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Francisco Cerúndolo
- 09/10/26WRoman Safiullin#79ATP Shanghai · R647:6 6:3
- 04/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#6ATP Beijing · QF6:7 3:6
- 03/10/26WJakub Menšík#15ATP Beijing · R166:3 6:3
- 01/10/26WBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP Beijing · R325:7 6:4 6:3
- 07/09/26LAlexander Blockx#28ATP US Open · R163:6 6:4 5:7 5:7
- 05/09/26WTaylor Fritz#12ATP US Open · R323:6 4:6 6:3 6:4 6:4
- 03/09/26WJan-Lennard Struff#59ATP US Open · R645:7 7:5 4:6 6:2 6:3
- 01/09/26WFilip Misolic#471ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:3 7:5
- 16/08/26LNuno Borges#51ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 4:6
- 05/08/26LAlex Michelsen#35ATP Montreal · R643:6 4:6
Jakub Menšík
- 09/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#61ATP Shanghai · R646:3 6:3
- 03/10/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#20ATP Beijing · R163:6 3:6
- 01/10/26WAlexander Bublik#22ATP Beijing · R326:4 7:6
- 06/09/26LLearner Tien#17ATP US Open · R323:6 6:1 7:6 3:6 4:6
- 03/09/26WJurij Rodionov#140ATP US Open · R646:3 3:6 6:2 6:3
- 31/08/26WShintaro Mochizuki#123ATP US Open · R1286:1 6:4 7:5
- 19/08/26LThiago Agustin Tirante#54ATP Cincinnati · R167:5 4:6 4:6
- 17/08/26WRinky Hijikata#85ATP Cincinnati · R326:3 6:4
- 15/08/26WMattia Bellucci#86ATP Cincinnati · R647:5 2:6 7:6
- 11/08/26LBen Shelton#4ATP Montreal · QF3:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Cerúndolo | J. Menšík | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1161% | 25–974% |
| Clay | 15–865% | 8–467% |
| Grass | 5–183% | 1–233% |
Head to head
F. Cerúndolo 3–0 J. Menšík
- 03/10/26Winner: Francisco Cerúndolo6:3 6:3
- 01/05/25Winner: Francisco Cerúndolo3:6 7:6 6:2
- 27/09/24Winner: Francisco Cerúndolo7:6 6:1
Road through the tournament
Francisco Cerúndolo
- 09/10/26WRoman Safiullin#79ATP Shanghai · R647:6 6:3
Jakub Menšík
- 09/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#61ATP Shanghai · R646:3 6:3