Cerúndolo vs Safiullin 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 56%
Safiullin: 10 matches in a row without a tie-break
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Cerundolo lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Safiullin won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: F. Cerúndolo 60% · R. Safiullin 40%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 75% | 25% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 67% | 33% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 48% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 61% | 34% |
Sample: 5,089 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 23.0in · 22 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Francisco Cerúndolo | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 9 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 61% | First serves in | 57% |
| 80% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 73% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 3/6 | Break points converted | 1/2 |
| 9/10 | Service games held | 8/11 |
| 77% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 23% |
| 74 | Total points won | 58 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Cerúndolo | Tour | R. Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.33 | 0.48 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/16 | 15/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 55 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Francisco Cerúndolo
- 04/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#6ATP Beijing · QF6:7 3:6
- 03/10/26WJakub Menšík#15ATP Beijing · R166:3 6:3
- 01/10/26WBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP Beijing · R325:7 6:4 6:3
- 07/09/26LAlexander Blockx#28ATP US Open · R163:6 6:4 5:7 5:7
- 05/09/26WTaylor Fritz#12ATP US Open · R323:6 4:6 6:3 6:4 6:4
- 03/09/26WJan-Lennard Struff#59ATP US Open · R645:7 7:5 4:6 6:2 6:3
- 01/09/26WFilip Misolic#471ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:3 7:5
- 16/08/26LNuno Borges#51ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 4:6
- 05/08/26LAlex Michelsen#35ATP Montreal · R643:6 4:6
- 31/07/26LArthur Gea#56ATP Los Cabos · QF7:6 4:6 0:6
Roman Safiullin
- 07/10/26WRinky Hijikata#85ATP Shanghai · R1287:5 6:3
- 06/10/26WShintaro Mochizuki#123ATP Shanghai · Q26:2 6:3
- 05/10/26WAlexis Galarneau#184ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:0
- 03/10/26LAndrey Rublev#23ATP Beijing · R162:6 6:3 4:6
- 01/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#7ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:2
- 28/09/26LDaniil Medvedev#6ATP Hangzhou · SF5:7 4:6
- 27/09/26WYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Hangzhou · QF6:3 6:3
- 26/09/26WQuentin Halys#48ATP Hangzhou · R165:7 6:3 6:4
- 24/09/26WFajing Sun#303ATP Hangzhou · R326:2 6:0
- 31/08/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP US Open · R1284:6 4:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Cerúndolo | R. Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1159% | 10–856% |
| Clay | 15–865% | 20–483% |
| Grass | 5–183% | 9–469% |
Head to head
F. Cerúndolo 0–1 R. Safiullin
- 02/07/24Winner: Roman Safiullin7:6 6:3 5:7 3:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Francisco Cerúndolo
First match in this tournament.
Roman Safiullin
- 05/10/26WAlexis Galarneau#184ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:0
- 06/10/26WShintaro Mochizuki#123ATP Shanghai · Q26:2 6:3
- 07/10/26WRinky Hijikata#85ATP Shanghai · R1287:5 6:3