Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Chazal vs Milev 0:2: result and our tips

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Maxime ChazalATP #427Elo 1499clay 1494
0:2final4:6 6:7(2)
Yanaki MilevATP #619Elo 1716clay 1712

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maxime Chazal37%
Yanaki Milev63%

Elo: M. Chazal 22% · Y. Milev 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Chazal21%
2:1 M. Chazal16%
2:1 Y. Milev23%
2:0 Y. Milev41%

First set

Maxime Chazal40%
Yanaki Milev60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.562%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,675 matches

Games handicap

Yanaki Milev −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Maxime ChazalYanaki Milev
3Aces4
2Double faults4
66%First serves in57%
61%First-serve points won82%
47%Second-serve points won45%
2/4Break points converted3/15
8/11Service games held9/11
56%Service points won66%
34%Return points won44%
75Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. ChazalTourY. Milev
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won38%38%42%
Service games held74%76%72%
Breaks of serve22%24%31%
Aces per service game0.270.21
Double faults per game0.250.31
Sets with a tie-break10%4%
Tie-breaks won2/52/2
Wins in straight sets50%50%
Matches in the sample2019

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maxime Chazal

  • 24/09/26LJonas Forejtek#343Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R161:6 7:5 0:6
  • 22/09/26WJoel Schwaerzler#176Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R322:6 6:4 7:6
  • 15/09/26LAlex Barrena#224Challenger Biella · R324:6 6:1 3:6
  • 07/09/26LTitouan Droguet#72Challenger Cassis · R324:6 4:6
  • 12/07/26LSander Jong#489Challenger Bunschoten · Q16:3 6:7 4:6
  • 06/07/26LEmilien Demanet#783Challenger Liege · R322:6 3:6
  • 02/07/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Troyes · R165:7 1:6
  • 30/06/26WPatrick Zahraj#511Challenger Troyes · R327:5 3:6 6:1
  • 29/06/26LFryderyk Łechno-Wasiutyński#796Challenger Troyes · Q22:6 6:2 3:6
  • 28/06/26WRodrigo Alujas#760Challenger Troyes · Q16:1 6:1

Yanaki Milev

Elo over the last year

Maxime ChazalYanaki Milev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. ChazalY. Milev
Hard court3–443%0–0
Clay5–838%12–763%

Head to head

They have not met yet.