Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Semifinalclaybest of three sets

Passaro vs Milev 2:0: result and our tips

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Francesco PassaroATP #229Elo 1776clay 1756
2:0final6:2 6:1
Yanaki MilevATP #619Elo 1741clay 1738

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost59%

Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 59%

Passaro: 6 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Francesco Passaro84%
Yanaki Milev16%

Elo: F. Passaro 53% · Y. Milev 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Passaro62%
2:1 F. Passaro22%
2:1 Y. Milev8%
2:0 Y. Milev9%

First set

Francesco Passaro76%
Yanaki Milev24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.578%22%84%
17.569%31%76%
18.559%42%68%
19.550%50%59%
20.544%56%52%
21.539%61%47%
22.533%67%40%

Sample: 1,971 matches

Games handicap

Francesco Passaro −5.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Francesco PassaroYanaki Milev
2Aces0
1Double faults4
68%First serves in59%
85%First-serve points won59%
77%Second-serve points won35%
4/12Break points converted0/1
8/8Service games held3/7
83%Service points won49%
51%Return points won18%
58Total points won31

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. PassaroTourY. Milev
Service points won65%62%59%
Return points won37%38%42%
Service games held81%76%73%
Breaks of serve21%24%32%
Aces per service game0.490.22
Double faults per game0.240.31
Sets with a tie-break17%5%
Tie-breaks won15/202/2
Wins in straight sets67%50%
Matches in the sample4918

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Francesco Passaro

Yanaki Milev

Elo over the last year

Francesco PassaroYanaki Milev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. PassaroY. Milev
Hard court13–862%0–0
Clay14–1450%12–667%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Francesco Passaro

Yanaki Milev

See also