WTA NingboWTA 500Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Cirstea vs Bejlek 0:2: result and our tips

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Sorana CirsteaWTA #17Elo 1989hard 1963
0:2final6:7(3) 4:6
Sara BejlekWTA #32Elo 1895hard 1892

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: CirsteaLost64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Cirstea won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Bejlek lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Cirstea 16 of 20, Bejlek 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Cirstea 2-0Lost45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Cirstea won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Bejlek lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sorana Cirstea67%
Sara Bejlek33%

Elo: S. Cirstea 60% · S. Bejlek 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Cirstea44%
2:1 S. Cirstea22%
2:1 S. Bejlek15%
2:0 S. Bejlek20%

First set

Sorana Cirstea63%
Sara Bejlek37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%47%49%
21.547%53%44%
22.541%59%38%
23.537%63%34%
24.535%65%32%

Sample: 2,134 matches

Games handicap

Sorana Cirstea −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Sorana CirsteaSara Bejlek
1Aces3
6Double faults1
63%First serves in77%
63%First-serve points won60%
48%Second-serve points won46%
3/9Break points converted4/6
7/11Service games held8/11
57%Service points won56%
44%Return points won43%
84Total points won87

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. CirsteaTourS. Bejlek
Service points won60%56%56%
Return points won45%44%46%
Service games held73%63%64%
Breaks of serve40%37%43%
Aces per service game0.400.11
Double faults per game0.220.27
Sets with a tie-break13%11%
Tie-breaks won12/177/13
Wins in straight sets76%76%
Matches in the sample5853

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sorana Cirstea

Sara Bejlek

Elo over the last year

Sorana CirsteaSara Bejlek

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. CirsteaS. Bejlek
Hard court25–1071%22–1167%
Clay14–478%10–663%
Grass3–260%1–325%

Head to head

S. Cirstea 1–0 S. Bejlek

  • 30/06/26Winner: Sorana Cirstea6:1 7:6

Road through the tournament

Sorana Cirstea

Sara Bejlek