WTA NingboWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Cirstea vs Shi 2:0: result and our tips

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Sorana CirsteaWTA #17Elo 1986hard 1958
2:0final6:3 6:2
Han ShiWTA #177Elo 1726hard 1740

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: CirsteaWon68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Cirstea won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Shi lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 17.5Lost74%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Shi: 10 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sorana Cirstea72%
Han Shi28%

Elo: S. Cirstea 78% · H. Shi 22%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Cirstea50%
2:1 S. Cirstea21%
2:1 H. Shi14%
2:0 H. Shi16%

First set

Sorana Cirstea67%
Han Shi33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%72%
18.566%34%64%
19.558%42%56%
20.551%49%49%
21.545%55%44%
22.539%61%38%
23.535%65%34%

Sample: 1,826 matches

Games handicap

Sorana Cirstea −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sorana CirsteaHan Shi
0Aces1
3Double faults2
74%First serves in76%
73%First-serve points won40%
31%Second-serve points won62%
5/10Break points converted2/4
7/9Service games held3/8
62%Service points won45%
55%Return points won38%
60Total points won43

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. CirsteaTourH. Shi
Service points won60%56%58%
Return points won45%44%46%
Service games held73%63%67%
Breaks of serve40%37%41%
Aces per service game0.400.31
Double faults per game0.220.33
Sets with a tie-break13%11%
Tie-breaks won12/173/5
Wins in straight sets76%54%
Matches in the sample5720

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sorana Cirstea

Han Shi

Elo over the last year

Sorana CirsteaHan Shi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. CirsteaH. Shi
Hard court24–1071%13–668%
Clay14–478%0–10%
Grass3–260%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sorana Cirstea

First match in this tournament.

Han Shi