Comesana vs Hardt 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 63%
Comesana: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Comesana 16 of 20, Hardt 15 of 20 (tour average 68%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Comesana: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games; Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Comesana 9 of 20, Hardt 9 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: F. Comesana 70% · N. Hardt 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 64% | 37% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 55% | 45% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 43% | 57% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 37% | 63% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 36% |
Sample: 2,606 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 20.5out · 27 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Francisco Comesana | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 0 |
| 5 | Double faults | 9 |
| 59% | First serves in | 55% |
| 70% | First-serve points won | 58% |
| 41% | Second-serve points won | 44% |
| 6/14 | Break points converted | 4/6 |
| 10/14 | Service games held | 7/13 |
| 58% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 42% |
| 94 | Total points won | 83 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Comesana | Tour | N. Hardt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.51 | 0.17 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.38 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/24 | 5/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | 28 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Francisco Comesana
- 06/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#188Challenger Antofagasta · R327:6 6:7 1:6
- 23/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#342Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R165:7 7:6 4:6
- 22/09/26WJuan Estevez#360Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:1 4:6 6:2
- 01/09/26LFlavio Cobolli#7ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:2 3:6 4:6 4:6
- 25/08/26LDaniel Altmaier#67ATP Winston Salem · R321:6 6:7
- 23/08/26WYibing Wu#113ATP Winston Salem · R646:3 6:4
- 19/08/26LPablo Llamas Ruiz#144Challenger Cancun · R323:6 5:7
- 11/08/26LKei NishikoriATP Cincinnati · Q14:6 6:1 5:7
- 03/07/26LDaniel Rincon#245Challenger Milan · QF4:6 7:5 6:7
- 01/07/26WDiego Dedura#190Challenger Milan · R167:6 6:7 6:0
Nick Hardt
- 07/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#453Challenger Antofagasta · R163:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#323Challenger Antofagasta · R327:5 3:6 7:5
- 01/09/26LMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Porto · R326:4 0:6 3:6
- 25/08/26LKai Wehnelt#613Challenger Augsburg · R326:2 3:6 2:6
- 19/08/26LOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Prague · R163:6 0:6
- 17/08/26WJakub FilipChallenger Prague · R326:1 6:2
- 10/08/26LMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Todi · R323:6 5:7
- 09/07/26LLorenzo Claverie#889Challenger Bogota · R166:7 6:7
- 07/07/26WAlex Hernandez#484Challenger Bogota · R327:6 4:6 6:2
- 26/06/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#285Challenger Piracicaba · QF2:6 0:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Comesana | N. Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–1233% | 0–20% |
| Clay | 14–1548% | 16–1062% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
F. Comesana 2–0 N. Hardt
- 01/08/24Winner: Francisco Comesana6:7 6:4 6:4
- 02/10/23Winner: Francisco Comesana7:5 0:6 6:2