Day vs Zhang 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Day 41% · S. Zhang 59%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,299 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.5out · 30 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Kayla Day | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 2 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 82% | First serves in | 87% |
| 61% | First-serve points won | 59% |
| 40% | Second-serve points won | 54% |
| 4/8 | Break points converted | 5/19 |
| 10/15 | Service games held | 11/15 |
| 57% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 43% |
| 104 | Total points won | 105 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Day | Tour | S. Zhang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 42% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 65% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.18 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 5% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/9 | 6/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 89% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 34 | 57 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Kayla Day
- 22/10/26LAntonia Ruzic#84WTA Osaka · R164:6
- 20/10/26WSofia Kenin#187WTA Osaka · R326:3 6:2
- 18/10/26LMaya Joint#94WTA Osaka · Q23:6 6:3 3:6
- 17/10/26WEna Koike#321WTA Osaka · Q17:5 6:3
- 17/09/26LLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA Guadalajara · R166:7 6:2 6:7
- 14/09/26WElvina Kalieva#111WTA Guadalajara · R327:6 6:4
- 09/09/26LElsa Jacquemot#135WTA 125 Barranquilla · R166:7 2:6
- 07/09/26WSuzan Lamens#225WTA 125 Barranquilla · R326:4 6:3
- 24/08/26LJulieta Pareja#235WTA US Open · Q13:6 1:6
- 15/08/26LShuai Zhang#93WTA Cincinnati · R1286:2 2:6 2:6
Shuai Zhang
- 20/10/26LTereza Valentova#87WTA Osaka · R322:6 6:1 4:6
- 13/10/26LAshlyn Krueger#44WTA Wuhan · R643:6 0:6
- 30/08/26LLeylah Fernandez#23WTA US Open · R1283:6 2:6
- 25/08/26LMaria Timofeeva#72WTA Monterrey · R321:6 3:6
- 16/08/26LAnn Li#31WTA Cincinnati · R645:7 3:6
- 15/08/26WKayla Day#119WTA Cincinnati · R1282:6 6:2 6:2
- 06/08/26LAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Toronto · R323:6 4:6
- 04/08/26WJeļena Ostapenko#26WTA Toronto · R646:0 4:0
- 03/08/26WYulia Putintseva#67WTA Toronto · R1286:4 6:1
- 25/07/26LGabriela Knutson#164WTA Washington · R164:6 6:1 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Day | S. Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1152% | 15–1944% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 5–936% |
| Grass | 4–357% | 5–456% |
Head to head
K. Day 0–1 S. Zhang
- 15/08/26Winner: S. Zhang6:2 2:6 2:6