WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Ruzic vs Day: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 2mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Antonia Ruzic52%
Kayla Day48%
Elo: A. Ruzic 60% · K. Day 40%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Ruzic32%
2:1 A. Ruzic19%
2:1 K. Day19%
2:0 K. Day31%
First set
Antonia Ruzic51%
Kayla Day49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 49%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,297 matches
Games handicap
Antonia Ruzic −0.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Ruzic | Tour | K. Day | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 43% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 63% | 63% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.15 | 0.41 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 5% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/7 | 4/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 89% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 33 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Antonia Ruzic
- 20/10/26WPaula Badosa#61WTA Osaka · R323:6 6:4 6:3
- 15/10/26LBianca Andreescu#132WTA 125 Rovereto · R165:7 6:3 5:7
- 13/10/26WAnna Siskova#172WTA 125 Rovereto · R327:5 6:3
- 06/10/26LAlicia Dudeney#232WTA 125 Samsun · R326:3 3:6 4:6
- 03/10/26LLeolia Jeanjean#92WTA 125 Adana · SF6:4 1:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WTeodora Kostovic#144WTA 125 Adana · QF4:6 6:4 6:2
- 30/09/26WJulia Riera#141WTA 125 Adana · R166:3 6:4
- 28/09/26WVendula Valdmannova#167WTA 125 Adana · R326:4 6:3
- 31/08/26LAnn Li#25WTA US Open · R1285:7 1:6
- 24/08/26LNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Monterrey · R324:6 3:6
Kayla Day
- 20/10/26WSofia Kenin#126WTA Osaka · R326:3 6:2
- 18/10/26LMaya Joint#90WTA Osaka · Q23:6 6:3 3:6
- 17/10/26WEna Koike#320WTA Osaka · Q17:5 6:3
- 17/09/26LLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA Guadalajara · R166:7 6:2 6:7
- 14/09/26WElvina Kalieva#113WTA Guadalajara · R327:6 6:4
- 09/09/26LElsa Jacquemot#157WTA 125 Barranquilla · R166:7 2:6
- 07/09/26WSuzan Lamens#245WTA 125 Barranquilla · R326:4 6:3
- 24/08/26LJulieta Pareja#228WTA US Open · Q13:6 1:6
- 15/08/26LShuai Zhang#85WTA Cincinnati · R1286:2 2:6 2:6
- 12/08/26WYue Yuan#173WTA Cincinnati · Q22:6 7:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Antonia RuzicKayla Day
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Ruzic | K. Day | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1950% | 12–1055% |
| Clay | 3–633% | 2–250% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 4–357% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Antonia Ruzic
- 20/10/26WPaula Badosa#61WTA Osaka · R323:6 6:4 6:3
Kayla Day
- 17/10/26WEna Koike#320WTA Osaka · Q17:5 6:3
- 18/10/26LMaya Joint#90WTA Osaka · Q23:6 6:3 3:6
- 20/10/26WSofia Kenin#126WTA Osaka · R326:3 6:2