Joint vs Day 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Joint 14 of 20, Day 14 of 20 (tour average 56%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Joint 12 of 20, Day 6 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Joint 66% · K. Day 34%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,402 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.0out · 27 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Maya Joint | Kayla Day | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 1 |
| 5 | Double faults | 5 |
| 70% | First serves in | 59% |
| 68% | First-serve points won | 60% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 4/8 | Break points converted | 3/14 |
| 11/14 | Service games held | 9/13 |
| 61% | Service points won | 56% |
| 44% | Return points won | 39% |
| 98 | Total points won | 85 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Joint | Tour | K. Day | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 60% | 63% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.16 | 0.41 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.33 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/12 | 4/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 43% | 88% | |
| Matches in the sample | 46 | 31 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maya Joint
- 17/10/26WKyoka Okamura#246WTA Osaka · Q16:4 6:2
- 10/10/26LMananchaya Sawangkaew#84WTA Wuhan · Q16:4 2:6 6:7
- 30/09/26LSinja Kraus#76WTA Beijing · R1283:6 6:3 5:7
- 27/09/26LKimberly Birrell#41WTA Seoul · F4:6 2:6
- 26/09/26WAlina Korneeva#80WTA Seoul · SF6:2 1:0
- 26/09/26WLanlana Tararudee#53WTA Seoul · QF6:4 6:3
- 23/09/26WDayeon Back#259WTA Seoul · R166:2 6:1
- 21/09/26WXinxin Yao#270WTA Seoul · R322:6 7:6 6:3
- 03/09/26LElina Svitolina#6WTA US Open · R642:6 7:6 4:6
- 31/08/26WLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA US Open · R1283:6 6:2 6:2
Kayla Day
- 17/10/26WEna Koike#320WTA Osaka · Q17:5 6:3
- 17/09/26LLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA Guadalajara · R166:7 6:2 6:7
- 14/09/26WElvina Kalieva#113WTA Guadalajara · R327:6 6:4
- 09/09/26LElsa Jacquemot#157WTA 125 Barranquilla · R166:7 2:6
- 07/09/26WSuzan Lamens#245WTA 125 Barranquilla · R326:4 6:3
- 24/08/26LJulieta Pareja#228WTA US Open · Q13:6 1:6
- 15/08/26LShuai Zhang#85WTA Cincinnati · R1286:2 2:6 2:6
- 12/08/26WYue Yuan#173WTA Cincinnati · Q22:6 7:5 6:3
- 11/08/26WTaylah Preston#87WTA Cincinnati · Q16:3 6:2
- 05/08/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA Toronto · R642:6 5:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Joint | K. Day | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1753% | 11–955% |
| Clay | 1–517% | 2–250% |
| Grass | 1–325% | 4–357% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Maya Joint
- 17/10/26WKyoka Okamura#246WTA Osaka · Q16:4 6:2