WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Day vs Kenin 2:0: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Kayla Day50%
Sofia Kenin50%
Elo: K. Day 41% · S. Kenin 59%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Day31%
2:1 K. Day19%
2:1 S. Kenin19%
2:0 S. Kenin31%
First set
Kayla Day50%
Sofia Kenin50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 57%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,270 matches
Games handicap
Kayla Day −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.5in · 17 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Kayla Day | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 0 |
| — | Double faults | — |
| 73% | First serves in | 53% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 58% |
| 60% | Second-serve points won | 62% |
| 3/4 | Break points converted | 0/2 |
| 9/9 | Service games held | 5/8 |
| 73% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 27% |
| 58 | Total points won | 42 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Day | Tour | S. Kenin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 40% |
| Service games held | 70% | 63% | 64% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.15 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.40 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/9 | 5/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 32 | 38 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Kayla Day
- 18/10/26LMaya Joint#90WTA Osaka · Q23:6 6:3 3:6
- 17/10/26WEna Koike#320WTA Osaka · Q17:5 6:3
- 17/09/26LLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA Guadalajara · R166:7 6:2 6:7
- 14/09/26WElvina Kalieva#113WTA Guadalajara · R327:6 6:4
- 09/09/26LElsa Jacquemot#157WTA 125 Barranquilla · R166:7 2:6
- 07/09/26WSuzan Lamens#245WTA 125 Barranquilla · R326:4 6:3
- 24/08/26LJulieta Pareja#228WTA US Open · Q13:6 1:6
- 15/08/26LShuai Zhang#85WTA Cincinnati · R1286:2 2:6 2:6
- 12/08/26WYue Yuan#173WTA Cincinnati · Q22:6 7:5 6:3
- 11/08/26WTaylah Preston#87WTA Cincinnati · Q16:3 6:2
Sofia Kenin
- 18/10/26LSinja Kraus#76WTA Osaka · Q26:7 4:6
- 17/10/26WMei Yamaguchi#256WTA Osaka · Q12:6 6:0 6:1
- 10/10/26LKamilla Rakhimova#67WTA Wuhan · Q10:6 3:6
- 01/10/26LAshlyn Krueger#55WTA Beijing · R1283:6 3:6
- 22/09/26LAlina Charaeva#97WTA Seoul · R326:3 6:7 4:6
- 02/09/26LJessica Pegula#4WTA US Open · R643:6 1:6
- 31/08/26WVenus Williams#599WTA US Open · R1286:2 7:6
- 16/08/26LMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Cincinnati · R646:4 3:6 5:7
- 15/08/26WEva Lys#137WTA Cincinnati · R1281:6 6:3 6:3
- 01/08/26LLucrezia Stefanini#107WTA Toronto · Q15:7 6:1 2:6
Elo over the last year
Kayla DaySofia Kenin
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Day | S. Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–1052% | 7–1828% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 2–529% |
| Grass | 4–357% | 2–433% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Kayla Day
- 17/10/26WEna Koike#320WTA Osaka · Q17:5 6:3
- 18/10/26LMaya Joint#90WTA Osaka · Q23:6 6:3 3:6
Sofia Kenin
- 17/10/26WMei Yamaguchi#256WTA Osaka · Q12:6 6:0 6:1
- 18/10/26LSinja Kraus#76WTA Osaka · Q26:7 4:6