Challenger CaliChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Dedura vs Kicker 2:0: result and our tips

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Diego DeduraATP #190Elo 1718clay 1749
2:0finalrebuilt6:4 6:4
Nicolas KickerATP #330Elo 1682clay 1692

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: market alone 56% → with the players' profiles 59%

Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Dedura 14 of 20, Kicker 14 of 20 (tour average 60%); Dedura: 5 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dedura: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Diego Dedura68%
Nicolas Kicker32%

Elo: D. Dedura 58% · N. Kicker 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Dedura45%
2:1 D. Dedura23%
2:1 N. Kicker14%
2:0 N. Kicker18%

First set

Diego Dedura63%
Nicolas Kicker37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,245 matches

Games handicap

Diego Dedura −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Diego DeduraNicolas Kicker
1Aces2
1Double faults5
58%First serves in58%
70%First-serve points won61%
59%Second-serve points won46%
4/10Break points converted2/3
8/10Service games held6/10
65%Service points won55%
46%Return points won35%
64Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. DeduraTourN. Kicker
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won41%38%42%
Service games held74%76%71%
Breaks of serve30%24%33%
Aces per service game0.090.14
Double faults per game0.130.20
Sets with a tie-break13%5%
Tie-breaks won12/192/6
Wins in straight sets67%74%
Matches in the sample6759

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Diego Dedura

Nicolas Kicker

  • 16/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#111Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · QF1:6 1:6
  • 15/10/26WFacundo Mena#198Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R167:6 6:4
  • 13/10/26WThiago Cigarran#587Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26LThiago Cigarran#587Challenger Antofagasta · Q23:6 0:3
  • 04/10/26WMilledge CossuChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:3 6:4
  • 25/09/26LFacundo Mena#198Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF4:6 4:6
  • 23/09/26WHugo Dellien#118Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R164:6 7:5 6:0
  • 22/09/26WTomas Martinez#792Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R321:6 6:2 6:0
  • 16/08/26LMaxim Mrva#234Challenger Todi · F2:6 2:6
  • 15/08/26WMarco Cecchinato#164Challenger Todi · SF6:4 4:6 6:2

Elo over the last year

Diego DeduraNicolas Kicker

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. DeduraN. Kicker
Hard court4–833%1–150%
Clay35–1866%30–2753%
Grass0–20%0–0

Head to head

D. Dedura 1–0 N. Kicker

  • 21/07/26Winner: Diego Dedura6:4 6:4

Road through the tournament

Diego Dedura

Nicolas Kicker

First match in this tournament.