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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Dedura vs Olivieri 2:0: result and our tips

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Diego DeduraATP #184Elo 1713clay 1743
2:0final7:5 7:6(3)
Genaro Alberto OlivieriATP #257Elo 1658clay 1658

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Lost59%

Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 59%

Dedura: 7 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dedura: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost46%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 46%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Dedura 13 of 20, Olivieri 11 of 20 (tour average 48%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Diego Dedura64%
Genaro Alberto Olivieri36%

Elo: D. Dedura 62% · G. Olivieri 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Dedura42%
2:1 D. Dedura23%
2:1 G. Olivieri16%
2:0 G. Olivieri20%

First set

Diego Dedura61%
Genaro Alberto Olivieri39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%68%
19.560%41%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.547%53%46%
22.541%59%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 4,718 matches

Games handicap

D. Dedura −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Diego DeduraGenaro Alberto Olivieri
5Aces2
2Double faults2
62%First serves in62%
63%First-serve points won64%
51%Second-serve points won38%
4/13Break points converted3/12
9/12Service games held8/12
59%Service points won54%
46%Return points won41%
99Total points won91

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. DeduraTourG. Olivieri
Service points won61%62%57%
Return points won41%38%41%
Service games held74%76%65%
Breaks of serve30%24%31%
Aces per service game0.090.10
Double faults per game0.130.11
Sets with a tie-break12%11%
Tie-breaks won12/199/16
Wins in straight sets68%48%
Matches in the sample6959

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Diego Dedura

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Elo over the last year

Diego DeduraGenaro Alberto Olivieri

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. DeduraG. Olivieri
Hard court4–833%1–233%
Clay36–1965%26–2947%
Grass0–20%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also