Challenger JinanChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Delaney vs Uchida 0:2: result and our tips

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Jesse DelaneyElo 1241hard 1246
0:2final2:6 5:7
Kaichi UchidaATP #386Elo 1433hard 1437

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Delaney 13 of 16, Uchida 17 of 20 (tour average 66%); Delaney: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 21.5Won58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Delaney 9 of 16, Uchida 15 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jesse Delaney16%
Kaichi Uchida84%

Elo: J. Delaney 25% · K. Uchida 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Delaney9%
2:1 J. Delaney8%
2:1 K. Uchida20%
2:0 K. Uchida63%

First set

Jesse Delaney23%
Kaichi Uchida77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 53%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.557%43%62%
20.549%51%54%
21.542%58%49%
22.536%64%42%
23.531%69%37%

Sample: 2,317 matches

Games handicap

Kaichi Uchida −4.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Jesse DelaneyKaichi Uchida
5Aces3
6Double faults2
47%First serves in54%
65%First-serve points won67%
37%Second-serve points won64%
2/8Break points converted5/8
5/10Service games held8/10
50%Service points won66%
34%Return points won50%
54Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. DelaneyTourK. Uchida
Service points won57%62%63%
Return points won35%38%35%
Service games held65%76%76%
Breaks of serve20%24%19%
Aces per service game0.420.58
Double faults per game0.310.25
Sets with a tie-break11%12%
Tie-breaks won2/47/13
Wins in straight sets100%59%
Matches in the sample1645

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jesse Delaney

  • 15/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#278Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R323:6 4:6
  • 14/09/26WThijmen LoofChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 6:3
  • 13/09/26WYusuke Takahashi#727Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q17:6 7:6
  • 06/09/26LMikalai Haliak#911Challenger Shanghai · Q15:7 1:6
  • 30/08/26LEnzo Aguiard#439Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q13:6 6:7
  • 16/08/26LPatrick Brady#715Challenger Roehampton · Q11:6 0:6
  • 09/08/26LAlexander Weis#624Challenger Todi · Q15:7 4:6
  • 12/07/26LPeter Makk#549Challenger Cordenons · Q11:6 0:6
  • 06/07/26LMarcus Walters#915Challenger Nottingham 3 · Q25:7 6:1 3:6
  • 05/07/26WMatteo Covato#742Challenger Nottingham 3 · Q16:1 6:3

Kaichi Uchida

Elo over the last year

Jesse DelaneyKaichi Uchida

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. DelaneyK. Uchida
Hard court2–1017%17–2441%
Clay0–30%0–20%
Grass1–150%0–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also