Seggerman vs Uchida 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 71%
Uchida: 19 matches in a row under 26.5 games
Other tips
- Match Winner: SeggermanWon75%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Uchida lost 9 of the last 10 matches
- 1st Set Winner: SeggermanLost70%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Seggerman won the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches, Uchida lost the first set in 16 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 41%
A tie-break in recent matches: Seggerman 13 of 20, Uchida 4 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: R. Seggerman 74% · K. Uchida 27%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 78% | 22% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 3,692 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 23.0out · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Ryan Seggerman | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Aces | 5 |
| 5 | Double faults | 2 |
| 56% | First serves in | 53% |
| 85% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 57% | Second-serve points won | 63% |
| 2/7 | Break points converted | 1/5 |
| 15/16 | Service games held | 14/16 |
| 73% | Service points won | 70% |
| 30% | Return points won | 27% |
| 95 | Total points won | 89 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Seggerman | Tour | K. Uchida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 1.00 | 0.59 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 30% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/22 | 7/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 29 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ryan Seggerman
- 06/10/26WHikaru Shiraishi#602Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:7 7:6
- 05/10/26WMaxim Zhukov#730Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:7 6:1 6:2
- 04/10/26WNaoki TajimaChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:4
- 28/09/26LAleksandar Vukic#115Challenger Jingshan · Q14:6 4:6
- 17/09/26LMitchell Krueger#340Challenger Tiburon · R166:4 1:6 6:7
- 15/09/26WAidan Mayo#341Challenger Tiburon · R321:6 6:4 6:4
- 14/09/26WAlex Rybakov#707Challenger Tiburon · Q27:6 6:3
- 13/09/26WAndrew Fenty#466Challenger Tiburon · Q16:7 7:5 6:2
- 22/08/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#291ATP Winston Salem · Q16:2 6:7 3:6
- 17/08/26LGauthier Onclin#168Challenger Cancun · Q13:6 4:6
Kaichi Uchida
- 06/10/26WMasamichi Imamura#412Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:2
- 22/09/26LFederico Cina#147ATP Chengdu · Q11:6 2:6
- 14/09/26LRio Noguchi#221Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 2:6 3:6
- 07/09/26LLinang XiaoChallenger Shanghai · R323:6 5:7
- 31/08/26LHanyi Liu#831Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:3 3:6 2:6
- 14/07/26LAlexis Galarneau#184Challenger Granby · R322:6 1:6
- 08/07/26LDaniel Milavsky#315Challenger Newport · R324:6 3:6
- 29/06/26LJack Kennedy#401Challenger Cary · R324:6 4:6
- 22/06/26LBernard Tomic#185ATP Wimbledon · Q13:6 2:6
- 14/06/26LQuinn Vandecasteele#473Challenger Dublin · Q13:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Seggerman | K. Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–657% | 17–2343% |
| Clay | 9–469% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–30% |
Head to head
R. Seggerman 1–0 K. Uchida
- 02/07/24Winner: Ryan Seggerman7:6 6:1
Road through the tournament
Ryan Seggerman
- 04/10/26WNaoki TajimaChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:4
- 05/10/26WMaxim Zhukov#730Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:7 6:1 6:2
- 06/10/26WHikaru Shiraishi#602Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:7 7:6
Kaichi Uchida
- 06/10/26WMasamichi Imamura#412Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:2