Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Derepasko vs Jasika 0:2: result and our tips

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Timofei DerepaskoATP #662Elo 1651hard 1653
0:2final3:6 2:6
Omar JasikaATP #422Elo 1523hard 1519

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 62%

Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Derepasko 13 of 15, Jasika 16 of 20 (tour average 58%); Derepasko: 6 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won68%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Derepasko 13 of 15, Jasika 16 of 20 (tour average 66%); Derepasko: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon74%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 70% → with the players' profiles 74%

    Jasika: 8 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 38% → with the players' profiles 42%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Derepasko 9 of 15, Jasika 9 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Timofei Derepasko24%
Omar Jasika77%

Elo: T. Derepasko 68% · O. Jasika 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Derepasko13%
2:1 T. Derepasko10%
2:1 O. Jasika22%
2:0 O. Jasika55%

First set

Timofei Derepasko29%
Omar Jasika71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.551%50%54%
21.544%56%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.534%66%37%

Sample: 3,484 matches

Games handicap

Omar Jasika −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Timofei DerepaskoOmar Jasika
4Aces2
3Double faults1
59%First serves in82%
68%First-serve points won76%
38%Second-serve points won50%
0/2Break points converted3/9
5/8Service games held9/9
55%Service points won71%
29%Return points won45%
48Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. DerepaskoTourO. Jasika
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won41%38%37%
Service games held72%76%73%
Breaks of serve32%24%22%
Aces per service game0.490.19
Double faults per game0.340.23
Sets with a tie-break9%15%
Tie-breaks won2/38/14
Wins in straight sets89%63%
Matches in the sample1541

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Timofei Derepasko

  • 07/10/26WFilip Peliwo#661Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 7:6
  • 05/10/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:2 7:6
  • 15/09/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R324:6 3:6
  • 14/09/26WTaisei Ichikawa#763Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q27:5 6:3
  • 13/09/26WStefan StorchChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:3 6:3
  • 10/09/26LCruz Hewitt#331Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R163:6 2:6
  • 08/09/26WSam Ryan Ziegann#852Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:4
  • 07/09/26WTaiyo Yamanaka#881Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q26:3 6:4
  • 06/09/26WMinhthien NguyenChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:2 6:0
  • 22/02/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#238Challenger Pune · Q16:7 2:6

Omar Jasika

Elo over the last year

Timofei DerepaskoOmar Jasika

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. DerepaskoO. Jasika
Hard court9–660%15–2438%
Clay0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Timofei Derepasko

  • 05/10/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:2 7:6
  • 07/10/26WFilip Peliwo#661Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 7:6

Omar Jasika