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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Diallo vs Basavareddy 2:0: result and our tips

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Gabriel DialloATP #149Elo 1872hard 1845
2:0final6:3 7:5
Nishesh BasavareddyATP #131Elo 1882hard 1848

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: BasavareddyLost56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Diallo lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Basavareddy won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Basavareddy 2-0Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Diallo lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Basavareddy won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gabriel Diallo41%
Nishesh Basavareddy59%

Elo: G. Diallo 50% · N. Basavareddy 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Diallo24%
2:1 G. Diallo17%
2:1 N. Basavareddy21%
2:0 N. Basavareddy38%

First set

Gabriel Diallo43%
Nishesh Basavareddy57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.564%36%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,955 matches

Games handicap

N. Basavareddy −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Gabriel DialloNishesh Basavareddy
12Aces4
2Double faults0
61%First serves in73%
82%First-serve points won63%
64%Second-serve points won53%
3/6Break points converted1/2
10/11Service games held7/10
75%Service points won60%
40%Return points won25%
67Total points won52

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. DialloTourN. Basavareddy
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won33%38%39%
Service games held79%76%81%
Breaks of serve17%24%26%
Aces per service game0.610.40
Double faults per game0.210.34
Sets with a tie-break24%14%
Tie-breaks won9/1910/18
Wins in straight sets55%62%
Matches in the sample3151

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gabriel Diallo

Nishesh Basavareddy

Elo over the last year

Gabriel DialloNishesh Basavareddy

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. DialloN. Basavareddy
Hard court7–1139%21–1166%
Clay1–517%13–668%
Grass3–443%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.