Diallo vs Sakamoto 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sakamoto: 4 matches in a row under 24.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Diallo lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Sakamoto won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: G. Diallo 49% · R. Sakamoto 51%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 72% | 28% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 65% | 35% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 58% | 42% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 50% | 50% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 43% | 57% | 34% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 5,162 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 23.5out · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Gabriel Diallo | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Aces | 13 |
| 0 | Double faults | 3 |
| 70% | First serves in | 71% |
| 74% | First-serve points won | 80% |
| 67% | Second-serve points won | 30% |
| 2/7 | Break points converted | 2/9 |
| 12/14 | Service games held | 12/14 |
| 72% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 28% |
| 90 | Total points won | 83 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Diallo | Tour | R. Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 33% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.60 | 0.67 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 24% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/19 | 19/42 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 31 | 73 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gabriel Diallo
- 17/10/26WHarold Mayot#202ATP Almaty · Q17:6 6:2
- 05/08/26LLuciano Darderi#23ATP Montreal · R644:6 3:2
- 03/08/26WKyrian Jacquet#85ATP Montreal · R1286:7 6:3 6:2
- 28/07/26LTristan Boyer#200ATP Los Cabos · R325:7 2:6
- 02/07/26LLorenzo Sonego#89ATP Wimbledon · R646:7 6:4 6:7 7:6 2:6
- 30/06/26WBenjamin Bonzi#100ATP Wimbledon · R1281:6 4:6 7:6 6:3 3:1
- 25/06/26LJack Draper#157ATP Eastbourne · QF1:6 4:6
- 24/06/26WTomás Martín Etcheverry#29ATP Eastbourne · R166:7 6:3 6:2
- 22/06/26WTerence Atmane#98ATP Eastbourne · R326:7 6:4 7:5
- 16/06/26LAlex de Minaur#8ATP London · R326:7 3:6
Rei Sakamoto
- 17/10/26WAmir Omarkhanov#615ATP Almaty · Q16:2 6:1
- 11/10/26LAlex de Minaur#8ATP Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
- 09/10/26WAndrey Rublev#22ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
- 07/10/26WMarco Trungelliti#90ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:5
- 06/10/26WKyrian Jacquet#85ATP Shanghai · Q27:6 4:6 7:6
- 05/10/26WSeongchan HongATP Shanghai · Q16:3 7:5
- 30/09/26LMatteo Arnaldi#36ATP Tokyo · R326:2 4:6 4:6
- 08/09/26LJi Sung Nam#819Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
- 02/09/26LFrances Tiafoe#9ATP US Open · R643:6 6:7 5:7
- 30/08/26WAleksandar Vukic#116ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:7 6:4 3:6 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Diallo | R. Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–1139% | 35–1965% |
| Clay | 1–517% | 9–660% |
| Grass | 3–443% | 2–250% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Gabriel Diallo
- 17/10/26WHarold Mayot#202ATP Almaty · Q17:6 6:2
Rei Sakamoto
- 17/10/26WAmir Omarkhanov#615ATP Almaty · Q16:2 6:1