Diaz Acosta vs Mochizuki 0:2: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Diaz Acosta won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Mochizuki lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Tie-break in Match: NoLost73%
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 73%
No tie-break in recent matches: Diaz Acosta 15 of 20, Mochizuki 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Diaz Acosta won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Mochizuki lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: F. Diaz Acosta 55% · S. Mochizuki 45%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 5,793 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Under 22.0in · 21 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Shintaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 4 |
| 1 | Double faults | 6 |
| 73% | First serves in | 54% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 87% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 0/1 | Break points converted | 2/6 |
| 8/10 | Service games held | 10/10 |
| 66% | Service points won | 70% |
| 30% | Return points won | 34% |
| 65 | Total points won | 72 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Diaz Acosta | Tour | S. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.39 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/30 | 11/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 78 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
- 08/10/26LNuno Borges#51ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 2:6
- 15/09/26LDaniel Elahi Galan#383Challenger Szczecin · R327:5 2:6 3:6
- 13/09/26WDusan Lajovic#148Challenger Seville · F6:2 6:1
- 12/09/26WJaume Munar#49Challenger Seville · SF4:6 6:3 7:6
- 11/09/26WSebastian Ofner#120Challenger Seville · QF7:5 6:2
- 09/09/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Seville · R166:1 7:5
- 07/09/26WPol Martin Tiffon#215Challenger Seville · R326:3 2:6 6:2
- 31/08/26LQuentin Halys#48ATP US Open · R1284:6 5:7 7:6 1:6
- 02/08/26WMili Poljicak#286Challenger San Marino · F6:1 6:4
- 01/08/26WVilius Gaubas#141Challenger San Marino · SF6:2 6:3
Shintaro Mochizuki
- 06/10/26LRoman Safiullin#79ATP Shanghai · Q22:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WTaro Daniel#177ATP Shanghai · Q12:6 6:2 6:2
- 28/09/26LJaime Faria#60ATP Tokyo · Q12:6 4:6
- 24/09/26LMartin Damm Jr#104ATP Chengdu · R321:6 4:6
- 23/09/26WPavel Kotov#187ATP Chengdu · Q27:5 6:3
- 22/09/26WLinang XiaoATP Chengdu · Q17:5 4:6 7:5
- 15/09/26LPavel Kotov#187Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:7 1:6
- 31/08/26LJakub Menšík#15ATP US Open · R1281:6 4:6 5:7
- 28/08/26LFrancesco Passaro#229ATP US Open · Q34:6 2:6
- 26/08/26WBraden Shick#211ATP US Open · Q26:4 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Diaz Acosta | S. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–538% | 17–2640% |
| Clay | 51–1874% | 0–30% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.