Donald vs Sanchez Jover 2:1: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 56%
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Donald 11 of 20, Sanchez Jover 17 of 20 (tour average 59%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Donald 58% · C. Sanchez Jover 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 72% | 29% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
Sample: 4,904 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 21.5out · 31 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| M. W. Donald | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 3 |
| 7 | Double faults | 2 |
| 60% | First serves in | 65% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 61% |
| 31% | Second-serve points won | 36% |
| 7/20 | Break points converted | 5/14 |
| 10/15 | Service games held | 9/16 |
| 54% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 46% |
| 105 | Total points won | 103 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Donald | Tour | C. Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 43% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 37% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.14 | 0.17 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.47 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/9 | 10/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 54% | |
| Matches in the sample | 33 | 51 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
M. W. Donald
- 19/10/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#610Challenger Florence · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
- 18/10/26WGabriele PennafortiChallenger Florence · Q16:2 6:1
- 03/10/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#371Challenger Bari · SF3:6 2:6
- 02/10/26WMartin Krumich#269Challenger Bari · QF4:6 6:1 6:3
- 01/10/26WLorenzo Giustino#231Challenger Bari · R166:7 6:3 3:1
- 29/09/26WOlle Wallin#413Challenger Bari · R326:3 7:5
- 28/09/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#555Challenger Bari · Q27:5 7:6
- 27/09/26WCarles Cordoba#780Challenger Bari · Q16:1 6:1
- 23/09/26LDali Blanch#320Challenger Genoa 2 · R163:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WGianluca Cadenasso#183Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:3 4:6 7:5
Carlos Sanchez Jover
- 13/10/26LMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Catania · R326:7 3:6
- 09/10/26LYanaki Milev#535Challenger Palermo · QF5:7 3:6
- 08/10/26WLorenzo Giustino#231Challenger Palermo · R162:6 6:2 6:3
- 06/10/26WFrancesco Forti#329Challenger Palermo · R326:4 3:6 6:4
- 23/09/26LMax Alcala Gurri#132Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R163:6 2:6
- 22/09/26WMichael Geerts#347Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:4 7:5
- 13/09/26LFilip Pieczonka#877Challenger Szczecin · Q15:7 3:6
- 08/09/26LGonzalo Bueno#199Challenger Seville · R326:0 4:6 4:6
- 07/09/26WPedro Vives Marcos#546Challenger Seville · Q22:6 7:6 6:3
- 06/09/26WSergi Fita JuanChallenger Seville · Q16:3 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Donald | C. Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–167% | 0–10% |
| Clay | 18–1260% | 28–2256% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
M. W. Donald
- 18/10/26WGabriele PennafortiChallenger Florence · Q16:2 6:1
- 19/10/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#610Challenger Florence · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
Carlos Sanchez Jover
First match in this tournament.