Echargui vs Maestrelli 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 61%
Echargui: 7 matches in a row without a tie-break
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 24.5Won60%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Echargui: 6 matches in a row under 24.5 games
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Echargui: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 39%
A tie-break in recent matches: Echargui 6 of 20, Maestrelli 13 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Echargui 52% · F. Maestrelli 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,972 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 22.5in · 22 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Moez Echargui | Francesco Maestrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 14 |
| 0 | Double faults | 3 |
| 64% | First serves in | 73% |
| 76% | First-serve points won | 75% |
| 62% | Second-serve points won | 59% |
| 0/7 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 9/10 | Service games held | 11/11 |
| 71% | Service points won | 70% |
| 30% | Return points won | 29% |
| 65 | Total points won | 74 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Echargui | Tour | F. Maestrelli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.39 | 0.57 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/26 | 15/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 57 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Moez Echargui
- 26/10/26WBenjamin Hassan#465Challenger Brest · Q26:2 6:4
- 25/10/26WMickael Kaouk#937Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:2
- 08/10/26LDaniil Glinka#157Challenger Villena · R162:6 1:6
- 05/10/26WRaul Brancaccio#219Challenger Villena · R327:5 6:4
- 01/10/26LEdas Butvilas#208Challenger Porto 2 · R161:6 5:7
- 30/09/26WDamir Dzumhur#83Challenger Porto 2 · R327:5 6:0
- 22/09/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Saint Tropez · R321:6 6:4 4:6
- 21/09/26WKarl Poling#453Challenger Saint Tropez · Q26:4 7:6
- 20/09/26WLuca Potenza#564Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:7 6:4 6:3
- 11/09/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#180Challenger Cassis · QF7:6 5:7 1:6
Francesco Maestrelli
- 18/10/26LBorna Gojo#135ATP Lyon · Q16:4 3:6 6:7
- 15/10/26LMaxim Mrva#228Challenger Olbia · R163:6 4:6
- 13/10/26WMili Poljicak#274Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:3
- 06/10/26LOliver Tarvet#295Challenger Villena · R326:4 3:6 4:6
- 21/09/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165Challenger Saint Tropez · R323:6 7:6 3:6
- 18/09/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Rennes · QF0:6 3:6
- 17/09/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#529Challenger Rennes · R164:6 7:6 6:3
- 16/09/26WArthur Nagel#357Challenger Rennes · R326:4 7:6
- 11/09/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#213Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF0:6 6:2 1:6
- 09/09/26WAlafia Ayeni#437Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:7 6:1 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Echargui | F. Maestrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–2341% | 24–1857% |
| Clay | 3–1023% | 2–1017% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–30% |
Head to head
M. Echargui 1–0 F. Maestrelli
- 03/08/25Winner: M. Echargui6:3 6:2
Road through the tournament
Moez Echargui
- 25/10/26WMickael Kaouk#937Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:2
- 26/10/26WBenjamin Hassan#465Challenger Brest · Q26:2 6:4
Francesco Maestrelli
First match in this tournament.