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Challenger MonastirChallenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Echeverria vs Ouakaa: prediction and tips

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John EcheverriaATP #525Elo 1373hard 1370
-:-awaiting result
Aziz OuakaaATP #483Elo 1450hard 1473

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.563%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Echeverria 5 of 7, Ouakaa 17 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.565%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Echeverria 5 of 7, Ouakaa 17 of 20 (tour average 66%)

  • Tie-break in Match: No73%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 67% → with the players' profiles 73%

    No tie-break in recent matches: Echeverria 5 of 7, Ouakaa 18 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.540%

Where the number comes from: market alone 36% → with the players' profiles 40%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Echeverria 3 of 7, Ouakaa 15 of 20 (tour average 38%); Ouakaa: 5 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

John Echeverria72%
Aziz Ouakaa28%

Elo: J. Echeverria 36% · A. Ouakaa 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Echeverria49%
2:1 J. Echeverria22%
2:1 A. Ouakaa13%
2:0 A. Ouakaa16%

First set

John Echeverria66%
Aziz Ouakaa34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%71%
19.561%40%62%
20.554%46%54%
21.548%53%49%
22.541%59%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 4,541 matches

Games handicap

J. Echeverria −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. EcheverriaTourA. Ouakaa
Service points won62%62%57%
Return points won38%38%41%
Service games held74%76%65%
Breaks of serve24%24%30%
Aces per service game0.360.32
Double faults per game0.150.37
Sets with a tie-break13%5%
Tie-breaks won0/22/2
Wins in straight sets100%70%
Matches in the sample720

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

John Echeverria

  • 09/11/26WGuillaume Dalmasso#646Challenger Monastir · Q26:3 6:2
  • 23/08/26LAndreja Petrovic#628Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q16:4 3:6 3:6
  • 18/08/26LOliver Tarvet#253Challenger Roehampton · R323:6 4:6
  • 17/08/26LBilly BlaydesChallenger Roehampton · Q22:6 1:6
  • 16/08/26WOliver Bonding#658Challenger Roehampton · Q17:5 6:3
  • 19/07/26LSamuel Heredia#629Challenger Segovia · Q14:6 6:7
  • 12/07/26LBernardo Munk MesaChallenger Pozoblanco · Q16:3 6:7 4:6
  • 28/09/25LLorenzo Carboni#550Challenger Villena · Q13:6 5:7
  • 27/08/25LStuart ParkerChallenger Manacor · R327:6 0:6 0:6
  • 22/07/25LAntoine EscoffierChallenger Segovia · R324:6 6:1 3:6

Aziz Ouakaa

  • 11/08/26LJie Cui#368Challenger Astana · R323:6 4:6
  • 02/08/26LHunter Heck#601Challenger Istanbul 2 · Q12:6 4:6
  • 20/07/26LCyril Vandermeersch#512Challenger Segovia · Q23:6 1:6
  • 19/07/26WMaxwell McKennon#657Challenger Segovia · Q16:2 6:2
  • 16/07/26LIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Pozoblanco · R161:6 0:6
  • 14/07/26WJuan Pablo Ficovich#358Challenger Pozoblanco · R327:6 4:6 6:4
  • 13/07/26WSamuel Alejandro Linde Palacios#871Challenger Pozoblanco · Q26:3 6:0
  • 12/07/26WCarlos FerreChallenger Pozoblanco · Q16:0 6:0
  • 12/05/26LBernard Tomic#176Challenger Tunis · R323:6 2:6
  • 09/03/26LJonas Forejtek#303Challenger Kigali 2 · R321:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

John EcheverriaAziz Ouakaa

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. EcheverriaA. Ouakaa
Hard court2–529%10–759%
Clay0–00–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

John Echeverria

Aziz Ouakaa

First match in this tournament.

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