Fearnley vs Kumstat: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: J. Fearnley 65% · J. Kumstat 35%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,579 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Fearnley | Tour | J. Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 68% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.68 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.48 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/32 | 7/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 35 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jacob Fearnley
- 13/10/26WGeorge Loffhagen#374Challenger Olbia · R326:1 6:3
- 01/10/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Porto 2 · R166:7 0:3
- 29/09/26WAlejo Sanchez Quilez#375Challenger Porto 2 · R326:1 6:2
- 02/09/26LTomás Martín Etcheverry#31ATP US Open · R643:6 3:6 6:3 3:6
- 30/08/26WMartin Landaluce#73ATP US Open · R1284:6 6:2 4:6 7:5 6:3
- 27/08/26LJurij Rodionov#140ATP US Open · Q36:4 4:6 4:6
- 26/08/26WLuka Pavlovic#207ATP US Open · Q26:4 6:7 6:4
- 24/08/26WRoberto Carballes Baena#258ATP US Open · Q17:6 6:3
- 21/08/26LTaro Daniel#177Challenger Quebec City · QF4:6 1:6
- 21/08/26WAlexis Galarneau#184Challenger Quebec City · R166:2 6:3
Jan Kumstat
- 13/10/26WEdas Butvilas#199Challenger Olbia · R327:6 7:6
- 31/08/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Como · R324:6 3:6
- 22/08/26WChun Hsin Tseng#225Challenger Prague · F5:7 6:3 6:0
- 21/08/26WFilip Cristian Jianu#289Challenger Prague · SF6:1 6:4
- 20/08/26WMaxim Mrva#217Challenger Prague · QF6:1 7:5
- 19/08/26WSumit Nagal#253Challenger Prague · R167:5 6:3
- 18/08/26WPetr Brunclik#359Challenger Prague · R327:5 6:1
- 16/08/26WMarvin Moeller#239Challenger Hamburg · F4:6 7:6 7:5
- 15/08/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#255Challenger Hamburg · SF6:4 5:7 6:2
- 14/08/26WCarlos Taberner#361Challenger Hamburg · QF7:5 0:0
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Fearnley | J. Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–2150% | 4–357% |
| Clay | 2–340% | 24–486% |
| Grass | 11–473% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jacob Fearnley
- 13/10/26WGeorge Loffhagen#374Challenger Olbia · R326:1 6:3
Jan Kumstat
- 13/10/26WEdas Butvilas#199Challenger Olbia · R327:6 7:6