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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Feldbausch vs Paris 0:2: result and our tips

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Kilian FeldbauschATP #263Elo 1778hard 1644
0:2final6:7(4) 6:7(13)
Tom ParisATP #683Elo 1579hard 1593

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: FeldbauschLost66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Feldbausch won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Paris lost the first set in 10 of the last 18 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Feldbausch 2-0Lost48%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Feldbausch won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Paris lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 18 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kilian Feldbausch72%
Tom Paris29%

Elo: K. Feldbausch 57% · T. Paris 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Feldbausch49%
2:1 K. Feldbausch22%
2:1 T. Paris13%
2:0 T. Paris16%

First set

Kilian Feldbausch66%
Tom Paris34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%71%
19.561%39%62%
20.554%46%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,495 matches

Games handicap

K. Feldbausch −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Kilian FeldbauschTom Paris
5Aces8
3Double faults1
81%First serves in64%
85%First-serve points won81%
44%Second-serve points won63%
0/3Break points converted0/0
12/12Service games held12/12
77%Service points won74%
26%Return points won23%
87Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. FeldbauschTourT. Paris
Service points won60%62%64%
Return points won46%38%35%
Service games held72%76%79%
Breaks of serve41%24%19%
Aces per service game0.130.53
Double faults per game0.250.25
Sets with a tie-break16%22%
Tie-breaks won6/174/10
Wins in straight sets75%50%
Matches in the sample4819

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kilian Feldbausch

Tom Paris

Elo over the last year

Kilian FeldbauschTom Paris

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. FeldbauschT. Paris
Hard court2–250%7–944%
Clay30–1468%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kilian Feldbausch

Tom Paris