ATP Lyon250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Fery vs Gojo 0:2: result and our tips

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Arthur FeryATP #34Elo 1949hard 1887
0:2final3:6 6:7(2)
Borna GojoATP #148Elo 1807hard 1804

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won75%

Where the number comes from: market alone 71% → with the players' profiles 75%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Fery 16 of 20, Gojo 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Long shot
1st Set Winner: GojoWon41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Fery lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Gojo won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Arthur Fery64%
Borna Gojo36%

Elo: A. Fery 62% · B. Gojo 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Fery40%
2:1 A. Fery22%
2:1 B. Gojo16%
2:0 B. Gojo22%

First set

Arthur Fery59%
Borna Gojo41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.567%33%60%
21.560%40%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.545%55%39%
24.541%59%38%
25.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,632 matches

Games handicap

Arthur Fery −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Arthur FeryBorna Gojo
2Aces9
—Double faults—
74%First serves in76%
65%First-serve points won74%
53%Second-serve points won45%
1/6Break points converted2/5
8/10Service games held10/11
62%Service points won67%
33%Return points won38%
68Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. FeryTourB. Gojo
Service points won64%62%68%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held80%76%86%
Breaks of serve25%24%21%
Aces per service game0.330.91
Double faults per game0.150.28
Sets with a tie-break17%20%
Tie-breaks won12/2615/22
Wins in straight sets44%74%
Matches in the sample6049

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Arthur Fery

Borna Gojo

Elo over the last year

Arthur FeryBorna Gojo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. FeryB. Gojo
Hard court22–1265%31–1272%
Clay6–555%2–250%
Grass11–473%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Arthur Fery

First match in this tournament.

Borna Gojo