ATP Lyon250Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Sachko vs Gojo 0:2: result and our tips

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Vitaliy SachkoATP #175Elo 1754hard 1709
0:2final3:6 6:7(4)
Borna GojoATP #148Elo 1794hard 1792

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost56%

Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 56%

Sachko: 4 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
1st Set Winner: SachkoLost43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sachko: 6 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Vitaliy Sachko42%
Borna Gojo58%

Elo: V. Sachko 38% · B. Gojo 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Sachko24%
2:1 V. Sachko19%
2:1 B. Gojo21%
2:0 B. Gojo36%

First set

Vitaliy Sachko45%
Borna Gojo56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.567%34%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.546%54%40%
24.543%57%38%
25.540%60%35%

Sample: 5,841 matches

Games handicap

Borna Gojo −1.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Vitaliy SachkoBorna Gojo
4Aces7
1Double faults1
59%First serves in77%
86%First-serve points won82%
42%Second-serve points won40%
1/3Break points converted2/6
8/10Service games held10/11
68%Service points won73%
27%Return points won32%
58Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. SachkoTourB. Gojo
Service points won61%62%67%
Return points won40%38%37%
Service games held74%76%86%
Breaks of serve29%24%21%
Aces per service game0.370.91
Double faults per game0.200.28
Sets with a tie-break14%19%
Tie-breaks won10/2014/21
Wins in straight sets56%73%
Matches in the sample6248

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Vitaliy Sachko

Borna Gojo

Elo over the last year

Vitaliy SachkoBorna Gojo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. SachkoB. Gojo
Hard court9–1145%30–1271%
Clay25–1661%2–250%
Grass0–10%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Vitaliy Sachko

Borna Gojo