Fils vs Kotov 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Fils 85% · P. Kotov 15%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 79% | 21% | 83% |
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 42% | 66% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 58% |
| 21.5 | 41% | 59% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 27% | 73% | 39% |
Sample: 1,473 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 37%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 20.5in · 19 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Arthur Fils | Pavel Kotov | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 4 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 65% | First serves in | 72% |
| 80% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 62% | Second-serve points won | 44% |
| 2/7 | Break points converted | 0/2 |
| 10/10 | Service games held | 7/9 |
| 73% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 27% |
| 68 | Total points won | 50 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Fils | Tour | P. Kotov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.55 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/23 | 19/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | 47 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Arthur Fils
- 04/10/26LValentin Vacherot#14ATP Tokyo · QF5:7 6:4 4:6
- 02/10/26WFrances Tiafoe#10ATP Tokyo · R166:3 7:5
- 30/09/26WLuca Van Assche#45ATP Tokyo · R326:3 6:2
- 29/09/26WKamil Majchrzak#70ATP Tokyo · Q26:2 3:6 6:1
- 28/09/26WMartin Damm Jr#104ATP Tokyo · Q12:6 6:1 6:1
- 31/08/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#43ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:7 1:6 4:6
- 23/08/26WFrances Tiafoe#10ATP Cincinnati · F6:3 1:6 6:0
- 22/08/26WFlavio Cobolli#7ATP Cincinnati · SF6:3 6:4
- 21/08/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#54ATP Cincinnati · QF6:3 6:2
- 19/08/26WAlex de Minaur#9ATP Cincinnati · R166:3 6:4
Pavel Kotov
- 08/10/26WTallon Griekspoor#58ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 7:6
- 06/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#115ATP Shanghai · Q26:3 6:3
- 05/10/26WMartin Damm Jr#104ATP Shanghai · Q17:6 6:7 6:3
- 23/09/26LShintaro Mochizuki#123ATP Chengdu · Q25:7 3:6
- 22/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#455ATP Chengdu · Q16:7 7:5 7:5
- 20/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · F0:6 3:6
- 19/09/26WBernard Tomic#185Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · SF7:6 7:6
- 18/09/26WRio Noguchi#221Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:1 7:6
- 16/09/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:4 7:6
- 15/09/26WShintaro Mochizuki#123Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:6 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Fils | P. Kotov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 26–974% | 31–978% |
| Clay | 9–282% | 2–529% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–0 |
Head to head
A. Fils 1–0 P. Kotov
- 05/10/23Winner: Arthur Fils6:1 6:4
Road through the tournament
Arthur Fils
First match in this tournament.
Pavel Kotov
- 05/10/26WMartin Damm Jr#104ATP Shanghai · Q17:6 6:7 6:3
- 06/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#115ATP Shanghai · Q26:3 6:3
- 08/10/26WTallon Griekspoor#58ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 7:6