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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Freire Da Silva vs Ursu 1:2: result and our tips

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Adan Freire Da SilvaElo 1497hard 1498
1:2final3:6 6:3 4:6
Vadym UrsuATP #412Elo 1425hard 1423

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Adan Freire Da Silva31%
Vadym Ursu69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Freire Da Silva18%
2:1 A. Freire Da Silva14%
2:1 V. Ursu22%
2:0 V. Ursu46%

First set

Adan Freire Da Silva36%
Vadym Ursu64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%43%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 4,979 matches

Games handicap

V. Ursu −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Adan Freire Da SilvaVadym Ursu
10Aces3
1Double faults2
69%First serves in63%
60%First-serve points won58%
48%Second-serve points won57%
4/8Break points converted5/14
9/14Service games held10/14
56%Service points won58%
42%Return points won44%
93Total points won96

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. Freire Da SilvaTourV. Ursu
Service points won—62%58%
Return points won—38%40%
Service games held—76%69%
Breaks of serve—24%26%
Aces per service game—0.33
Double faults per game—0.44
Sets with a tie-break—16%
Tie-breaks won—5/11
Wins in straight sets—56%
Matches in the sample—28

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Adan Freire Da Silva

  • 15/06/26LGerard Campana Lee#445Challenger Royan · Q23:6 3:6
  • 14/06/26WJordan CoudretChallenger Royan · Q16:2 6:0

Vadym Ursu

  • 11/10/26LM. Cerny#691Challenger Olbia · Q17:6 3:6 1:0
  • 04/10/26LDiego Dedura#184Challenger Villena · Q10:6 7:6 2:6
  • 27/09/26LJoao Domingues#563Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:7 2:6
  • 22/09/26LBorna Gojo#135Challenger Saint Tropez · R325:7 3:6
  • 21/09/26LHugo Grenier#403Challenger Saint Tropez · Q24:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26WGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Saint Tropez · Q13:6 7:6 6:1
  • 09/09/26LDimitar Kuzmanov#358Challenger Istanbul 3 · R164:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26WAugust Holmgren#271Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:4 7:5
  • 11/08/26LManas Dhamne#391Challenger Astana · R324:6 6:7
  • 04/08/26LTiago Pereira#319Challenger Istanbul 2 · R326:3 3:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Adan Freire Da SilvaVadym Ursu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. Freire Da SilvaV. Ursu
Hard court0–09–1636%
Clay1–150%0–20%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.