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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Galan vs Rodriguez 2:0: result and our tips

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Daniel Elahi GalanATP #367Elo 1698clay 1683
2:0final6:3 6:3
Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezATP #519Elo 1523clay 1530

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniel Elahi Galan68%
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez32%

Elo: D. Galan 71% · L. Rodriguez 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Galan45%
2:1 D. Galan23%
2:1 L. Rodriguez14%
2:0 L. Rodriguez18%

First set

Daniel Elahi Galan64%
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,202 matches

Games handicap

D. Galan −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Daniel Elahi GalanLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
5Aces4
0Double faults6
77%First serves in56%
88%First-serve points won70%
70%Second-serve points won34%
3/8Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held6/9
84%Service points won54%
46%Return points won16%
69Total points won46

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. GalanTourL. Rodriguez
Service points won61%62%61%
Return points won39%38%41%
Service games held75%76%73%
Breaks of serve25%24%29%
Aces per service game0.340.22
Double faults per game0.170.23
Sets with a tie-break21%15%
Tie-breaks won11/254/11
Wins in straight sets56%81%
Matches in the sample5135

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

  • 25/10/26WSergio CastroChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 6:0
  • 12/10/26LThiago Cigarran#590Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q24:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WAgustin Eduardo Cuellar LorbergChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:4 6:1
  • 05/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#332Challenger Antofagasta · Q23:6 6:0 3:6
  • 04/10/26WFranco Ribero#685Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:3 6:2
  • 29/09/26LTomas Barrios Vera#156Challenger Curitiba · R321:6 1:6
  • 28/09/26WWilson Leite#695Challenger Curitiba · Q26:1 7:6
  • 27/09/26WBruno MilaniChallenger Curitiba · Q16:0 6:2
  • 22/09/26LJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#198Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:7 6:7
  • 21/09/26WBastian Malla#813Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:2 1:0

Elo over the last year

Daniel Elahi GalanLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. GalanL. Rodriguez
Hard court1–233%0–0
Clay24–2450%16–1946%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Daniel Elahi Galan

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez