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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Galarneau vs Rottgering 0:2: result and our tips

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Alexis GalarneauATP #192Elo 1743hard 1711
0:2final3:6 4:6
Mees RottgeringATP #316Elo 1795hard 1773

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Galarneau 14 of 20, Rottgering 19 of 20 (tour average 66%); Rottgering: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Galarneau 13 of 20, Rottgering 18 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Rottgering 2-0Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Galarneau lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches, Rottgering won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alexis Galarneau37%
Mees Rottgering63%

Elo: A. Galarneau 41% · M. Rottgering 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Galarneau22%
2:1 A. Galarneau16%
2:1 M. Rottgering22%
2:0 M. Rottgering41%

First set

Alexis Galarneau41%
Mees Rottgering59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,798 matches

Games handicap

M. Rottgering −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Alexis GalarneauMees Rottgering
5Aces3
8Double faults5
54%First serves in58%
70%First-serve points won80%
32%Second-serve points won41%
2/4Break points converted5/7
5/10Service games held7/9
53%Service points won64%
37%Return points won48%
51Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. GalarneauTourM. Rottgering
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held76%76%79%
Breaks of serve24%24%28%
Aces per service game0.310.37
Double faults per game0.340.31
Sets with a tie-break18%10%
Tie-breaks won17/284/6
Wins in straight sets62%82%
Matches in the sample6728

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexis Galarneau

Mees Rottgering

Elo over the last year

Alexis GalarneauMees Rottgering

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. GalarneauM. Rottgering
Hard court24–2252%16–964%
Clay5–363%0–0
Grass8–562%1–233%

Head to head

A. Galarneau 0–1 M. Rottgering

  • 29/09/25Winner: M. Rottgering3:6 6:4 3:6