WTA 125 LisbonRound of 16claybest of three sets

Galfi vs Jorge: prediction and tips

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Dalma GalfiWTA #152Elo 1655clay 1682
-:-
Matilde JorgeWTA #245Elo 1590clay 1548

Our tips

Tip in 1d 4h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Dalma Galfi90%
Matilde Jorge10%

Elo: D. Galfi 68% · M. Jorge 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Galfi74%
2:1 D. Galfi15%
2:1 M. Jorge5%
2:0 M. Jorge5%

First set

Dalma Galfi84%
Matilde Jorge16%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no79%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 57%market (no margin): 52%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.587%13%93%
15.575%25%86%
16.563%37%78%
17.552%48%68%
18.543%57%59%
19.536%64%52%
20.530%71%45%

Sample: 619 matches

Games handicap

Dalma Galfi −6.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. GalfiTourM. Jorge
Service points won58%56%54%
Return points won43%44%45%
Service games held68%63%56%
Breaks of serve32%37%40%
Aces per service game0.390.13
Double faults per game0.290.39
Sets with a tie-break13%9%
Tie-breaks won5/152/3
Wins in straight sets83%50%
Matches in the sample5216

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dalma Galfi

Matilde Jorge

Elo over the last year

Dalma GalfiMatilde Jorge

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. GalfiM. Jorge
Hard court10–1638%6–555%
Clay12–1055%2–340%
Grass1–325%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Dalma Galfi

Matilde Jorge