Geerts vs Lagutin 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Geerts lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches, Lagutin won the first set in 13 of the last 18 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: LagutinWon76%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 76%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Lagutin won 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Geerts 27% · P. Lagutin 73%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 65% | 36% |
Sample: 2,911 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 20.0out · 17 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Michael Geerts | Pavel Lagutin | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 1 |
| 4 | Double faults | 2 |
| 45% | First serves in | 86% |
| 59% | First-serve points won | 68% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 44% |
| 1/5 | Break points converted | 4/8 |
| 4/8 | Service games held | 8/9 |
| 53% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 47% |
| 49 | Total points won | 65 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Geerts | Tour | P. Lagutin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 45% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 39% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.12 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 24% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/21 | 4/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 38 | 19 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Michael Geerts
- 30/09/26LEdas Butvilas#199Challenger Porto 2 · R324:6 1:6
- 28/09/26WJoao Domingues#584Challenger Porto 2 · Q23:6 6:4 7:6
- 27/09/26WVladyslav Orlov#507Challenger Porto 2 · Q17:6 6:2
- 22/09/26LCarlos Sanchez Jover#335Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 5:7
- 25/08/26LJay Friend#260Challenger Roehampton 2 · R323:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LLucas Poullain#322Challenger Roehampton · QF7:6 3:6 5:7
- 19/08/26WRadu Albot#468Challenger Roehampton · R164:6 6:4 6:4
- 18/08/26WBilly BlaydesChallenger Roehampton · R326:3 7:6
- 04/08/26LDurasovic#465Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R327:6 2:6 2:6
- 20/07/26LYi Zhou#277Challenger Segovia · R321:6 4:6
Pavel Lagutin
- 12/10/26WOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Catania · Q23:6 7:5 6:3
- 11/10/26WIgnacio Parisca Romera#650Challenger Catania · Q16:3 6:0
- 22/09/26LIliyan Radulov#574Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R325:7 2:6
- 21/09/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#572Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q27:6 3:0
- 20/09/26WRares Teodor Pieleanu#800Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:3 6:0
- 16/09/26LAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Biella · R164:6 3:6
- 15/09/26WEnrico Dalla Valle#319Challenger Biella · R323:6 7:6 6:3
- 14/09/26WMaximilian MartererChallenger Biella · Q26:2 6:2
- 13/09/26WMatthieu RoehrichChallenger Biella · Q16:1 6:0
- 10/09/26LMax Alcala Gurri#138Challenger Seville · R167:6 2:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Geerts | P. Lagutin | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1750% | 2–167% |
| Clay | 1–325% | 12–475% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Michael Geerts
First match in this tournament.
Pavel Lagutin
- 11/10/26WIgnacio Parisca Romera#650Challenger Catania · Q16:3 6:0
- 12/10/26WOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Catania · Q23:6 7:5 6:3