Lagutin vs Ovcharenko 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Lagutin won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ovcharenko: 4 matches in a row winning the first set
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: P. Lagutin 65% · O. Ovcharenko 35%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 66% | 34% |
Sample: 3,981 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 20.5in · 30 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Pavel Lagutin | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 5 |
| 1 | Double faults | 4 |
| 65% | First serves in | 58% |
| 62% | First-serve points won | 53% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 55% |
| 6/15 | Break points converted | 5/12 |
| 10/15 | Service games held | 9/15 |
| 59% | Service points won | 54% |
| 47% | Return points won | 42% |
| 101 | Total points won | 92 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P. Lagutin | Tour | O. Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 39% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.12 | 0.26 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/5 | 2/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 70% | |
| Matches in the sample | 18 | 17 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Pavel Lagutin
- 11/10/26WIgnacio Parisca Romera#650Challenger Catania · Q16:3 6:0
- 22/09/26LIliyan Radulov#574Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R325:7 2:6
- 21/09/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#572Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q27:6 3:0
- 20/09/26WRares Teodor Pieleanu#800Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:3 6:0
- 16/09/26LAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Biella · R164:6 3:6
- 15/09/26WEnrico Dalla Valle#319Challenger Biella · R323:6 7:6 6:3
- 14/09/26WMaximilian MartererChallenger Biella · Q26:2 6:2
- 13/09/26WMatthieu RoehrichChallenger Biella · Q16:1 6:0
- 10/09/26LMax Alcala Gurri#138Challenger Seville · R167:6 2:6 6:7
- 08/09/26WVilius Gaubas#141Challenger Seville · R326:2 3:6 6:0
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
- 11/10/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#559Challenger Catania · Q16:1 6:3
- 05/10/26LChristian Langmo#534Challenger Palermo · Q27:6 6:7 3:6
- 04/10/26WLorenzo Angelini#556Challenger Palermo · Q16:4 6:4
- 28/09/26LPierluigi Basile#521Challenger Bari · Q26:3 5:7 1:6
- 27/09/26WFilip Misolic#471Challenger Bari · Q16:4 3:1
- 04/09/26LGeorgii Kravchenko#313Challenger Plovdiv 3 · QF3:6 3:6
- 02/09/26WPol Martin Tiffon#215Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R166:7 6:4 6:1
- 01/09/26WRobert Strombachs#376Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R326:2 7:6
- 31/08/26WFranco Ribero#711Challenger Plovdiv 3 · Q26:4 6:2
- 30/08/26WEdoardo Cherie LigniereChallenger Plovdiv 3 · Q16:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P. Lagutin | O. Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–167% | 1–325% |
| Clay | 11–473% | 9–469% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Pavel Lagutin
- 11/10/26WIgnacio Parisca Romera#650Challenger Catania · Q16:3 6:0
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
- 11/10/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#559Challenger Catania · Q16:1 6:3