Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Semifinalclaybest of three sets

Gill vs Papoe 0:2: result and our tips

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Felix GillATP #227Elo 1745clay 1753
0:2final4:6 5:7
Radu Mihai PapoeATP #274Elo 1764clay 1768

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Felix Gill55%
Radu Mihai Papoe45%

Elo: F. Gill 48% · R. Papoe 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Gill35%
2:1 F. Gill20%
2:1 R. Papoe19%
2:0 R. Papoe26%

First set

Felix Gill54%
Radu Mihai Papoe46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%64%34%

Sample: 4,612 matches

Games handicap

Felix Gill −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Felix GillRadu Mihai Papoe
3Aces2
2Double faults1
60%First serves in65%
58%First-serve points won61%
38%Second-serve points won48%
4/6Break points converted6/10
5/11Service games held7/11
50%Service points won56%
44%Return points won50%
65Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. GillTourR. Papoe
Service points won63%62%59%
Return points won37%38%45%
Service games held79%76%70%
Breaks of serve20%24%40%
Aces per service game0.340.15
Double faults per game0.150.12
Sets with a tie-break21%8%
Tie-breaks won15/281/3
Wins in straight sets47%77%
Matches in the sample5318

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Felix Gill

Radu Mihai Papoe

Elo over the last year

Felix GillRadu Mihai Papoe

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. GillR. Papoe
Hard court8–657%0–0
Clay18–1064%13–572%
Grass4–736%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Felix Gill

Radu Mihai Papoe