Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets

Papoe vs Potenza: prediction and tips

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Radu Mihai PapoeATP #326Elo 1723clay 1729
-:-
Luca PotenzaATP #528Elo 1594clay 1566

Our tips

Tip in 9h 20m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Radu Mihai Papoe77%
Luca Potenza23%

Elo: R. Papoe 72% · L. Potenza 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Papoe53%
2:1 R. Papoe23%
2:1 L. Potenza11%
2:0 L. Potenza13%

First set

Radu Mihai Papoe70%
Luca Potenza30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.577%23%84%
17.567%33%76%
18.558%42%68%
19.551%49%59%
20.546%54%52%
21.539%61%47%
22.535%65%40%

Sample: 2,892 matches

Games handicap

Radu Mihai Papoe −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes16%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. PapoeTourL. Potenza
Service points won58%62%59%
Return points won45%38%40%
Service games held68%76%73%
Breaks of serve40%24%29%
Aces per service game0.150.24
Double faults per game0.120.28
Sets with a tie-break8%19%
Tie-breaks won1/34/14
Wins in straight sets73%60%
Matches in the sample1632

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Radu Mihai Papoe

Luca Potenza

Elo over the last year

Radu Mihai PapoeLuca Potenza

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. PapoeL. Potenza
Hard court0–08–947%
Clay11–569%7–847%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Radu Mihai Papoe

Luca Potenza