Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Roca Batalla vs Potenza 0:2: result and our tips

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Oriol Roca BatallaATP #312Elo 1677clay 1674
0:2final2:6 4:6
Luca PotenzaATP #528Elo 1568clay 1531

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Oriol Roca Batalla78%
Luca Potenza22%

Elo: O. Roca Batalla 70% · L. Potenza 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Roca Batalla55%
2:1 O. Roca Batalla22%
2:1 L. Potenza11%
2:0 L. Potenza12%

First set

Oriol Roca Batalla71%
Luca Potenza29%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%76%
18.564%36%68%
19.555%45%59%
20.549%51%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.538%63%40%
23.534%66%36%

Sample: 2,699 matches

Games handicap

Oriol Roca Batalla −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Oriol Roca BatallaLuca Potenza
2Aces3
—Double faults—
79%First serves in64%
51%First-serve points won71%
64%Second-serve points won60%
1/7Break points converted4/5
5/9Service games held8/9
54%Service points won67%
33%Return points won46%
46Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. Roca BatallaTourL. Potenza
Service points won63%62%59%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held79%76%73%
Breaks of serve27%24%29%
Aces per service game0.310.24
Double faults per game0.150.29
Sets with a tie-break19%20%
Tie-breaks won7/174/14
Wins in straight sets70%57%
Matches in the sample4031

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Oriol Roca Batalla

Luca Potenza

Elo over the last year

Oriol Roca BatallaLuca Potenza

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. Roca BatallaL. Potenza
Hard court0–08–947%
Clay23–1757%6–843%

Head to head

They have not met yet.