Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Ribecai vs Papoe 0:2: result and our tips

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Michele RibecaiATP #282Elo 1625clay 1607
0:2final3:6 4:6
Radu Mihai PapoeATP #326Elo 1701clay 1708

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Michele Ribecai57%
Radu Mihai Papoe43%

Elo: M. Ribecai 36% · R. Papoe 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Ribecai37%
2:1 M. Ribecai21%
2:1 R. Papoe18%
2:0 R. Papoe24%

First set

Michele Ribecai57%
Radu Mihai Papoe43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%76%
18.564%36%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.551%49%52%
21.545%55%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,803 matches

Games handicap

Michele Ribecai −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Michele RibecaiRadu Mihai Papoe
4Aces0
—Double faults—
61%First serves in65%
61%First-serve points won74%
46%Second-serve points won56%
2/5Break points converted4/12
5/9Service games held8/10
55%Service points won67%
33%Return points won45%
56Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. RibecaiTourR. Papoe
Service points won60%62%57%
Return points won41%38%45%
Service games held74%76%68%
Breaks of serve31%24%40%
Aces per service game0.150.16
Double faults per game0.200.13
Sets with a tie-break9%9%
Tie-breaks won6/151/3
Wins in straight sets74%70%
Matches in the sample6615

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Michele Ribecai

Radu Mihai Papoe

  • 20/08/26LNorbert Gombos#355Challenger Prague · QF1:6 6:4 2:6
  • 19/08/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#577Challenger Prague · R166:4 6:3
  • 18/08/26WOriol Roca Batalla#312Challenger Prague · R326:7 7:5 7:5
  • 17/08/26WM. Cerny#705Challenger Prague · Q26:2 6:3
  • 16/08/26WJakub VrtilkaChallenger Prague · Q16:0 6:1
  • 08/08/26LPyotr Nesterov#298Challenger Plovdiv 2 · SF5:7 3:6
  • 07/08/26WYannick Theodor Alexandrescou#797Challenger Plovdiv 2 · QF6:3 6:3
  • 06/08/26WFranco Agamenone#378Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R164:6 6:2 7:6
  • 04/08/26WFranco Ribero#711Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R326:4 1:6 6:3
  • 06/07/26LLautaro Midon#206Challenger Iasi · R322:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Michele RibecaiRadu Mihai Papoe

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. RibecaiR. Papoe
Hard court16–1552%0–0
Clay18–1751%10–567%

Head to head

They have not met yet.