Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Ribecai vs Forejtek 1:2: result and our tips

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Michele RibecaiATP #282Elo 1645clay 1629
1:2final1:6 6:1 6:7(5)
Jonas ForejtekATP #343Elo 1682clay 1678

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 69%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Ribecai 13 of 20, Forejtek 18 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won43%

Where the number comes from: market alone 45% → with the players' profiles 43%

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Ribecai 10 of 20, Forejtek 11 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Michele Ribecai44%
Jonas Forejtek56%

Elo: M. Ribecai 43% · J. Forejtek 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Ribecai25%
2:1 M. Ribecai18%
2:1 J. Forejtek21%
2:0 J. Forejtek36%

First set

Michele Ribecai45%
Jonas Forejtek56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,690 matches

Games handicap

Jonas Forejtek −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Michele RibecaiJonas Forejtek
2Aces3
1Double faults1
66%First serves in67%
59%First-serve points won67%
65%Second-serve points won57%
3/9Break points converted3/10
10/13Service games held10/13
61%Service points won64%
37%Return points won39%
91Total points won93

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. RibecaiTourJ. Forejtek
Service points won60%62%62%
Return points won41%38%41%
Service games held74%76%77%
Breaks of serve32%24%29%
Aces per service game0.150.34
Double faults per game0.200.15
Sets with a tie-break10%15%
Tie-breaks won7/159/19
Wins in straight sets74%63%
Matches in the sample6653

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Michele Ribecai

Jonas Forejtek

Elo over the last year

Michele RibecaiJonas Forejtek

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. RibecaiJ. Forejtek
Hard court17–1553%7–464%
Clay18–1653%23–1955%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Michele Ribecai

Jonas Forejtek

See also