ATP Brussels250Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Goffin vs Michelsen: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 10h 9mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
David Goffin8%
Alex Michelsen92%
Elo: D. Goffin 18% · A. Michelsen 82%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Goffin5%
2:1 D. Goffin5%
2:1 A. Michelsen16%
2:0 A. Michelsen75%
First set
David Goffin17%
Alex Michelsen83%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes20%
no80%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 80% | 20% | 91% |
| 17.5 | 70% | 30% | 83% |
| 18.5 | 59% | 41% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 48% | 52% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 40% | 60% | 58% |
| 21.5 | 34% | 66% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 27% | 73% | 45% |
Sample: 1,410 matches
Games handicap
Alex Michelsen −5.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 37%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Goffin | Tour | A. Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 67% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.30 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/3 | 16/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 16 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
David Goffin
- 21/10/26WRemy Bertola#219ATP Brussels · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 29/09/26LClement Chidekh#152Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R321:6 0:6
- 21/09/26LMark Lajal#150Challenger Saint Tropez · R323:6 4:6
- 22/06/26LAndrea Guerrieri#166ATP Wimbledon · Q16:3 5:7 2:6
- 20/05/26LToby Samuel#96ATP French Open · Q27:5 3:6 3:6
- 18/05/26WChun Hsin Tseng#217ATP French Open · Q16:3 6:1
- 29/04/26LThomas Faurel#321Challenger Aix en Provence · R321:6 4:6
- 11/04/26LEmilio Nava#120ATP Munich · Q14:6 2:6
- 05/04/26LEmilio Nava#120ATP Monte Carlo · Q13:6 7:6 6:7
- 04/04/26WIgnacio Buse#33ATP Monte Carlo · Q12:6 6:3 6:3
Alex Michelsen
- 19/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#166ATP Brussels · R326:1 6:2
- 10/10/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#38ATP Shanghai · R644:6 4:6
- 01/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Tokyo · R326:7 6:4 1:6
- 08/09/26LFrances Tiafoe#9ATP US Open · QF7:5 6:3 5:7 3:6 6:7
- 06/09/26WTomás Martín Etcheverry#29ATP US Open · R167:6 6:4 6:4
- 04/09/26WDaniel Merida#42ATP US Open · R327:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/09/26WBrandon Nakashima#17ATP US Open · R646:3 6:4 6:4
- 30/08/26WFederico Cina#135ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:1 6:0
- 16/08/26LTaylor Fritz#14ATP Cincinnati · R643:6 4:6
- 14/08/26WJesper De Jong#102ATP Cincinnati · R1286:4 6:4
Elo over the last year
David GoffinAlex Michelsen
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Goffin | A. Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–722% | 27–1466% |
| Clay | 2–433% | 6–746% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 3–260% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
David Goffin
- 21/10/26WRemy Bertola#219ATP Brussels · R323:6 6:3 6:4
Alex Michelsen
- 19/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#166ATP Brussels · R326:1 6:2