Guerrieri vs Michelsen 0:2: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 71% → with the players' profiles 69%
Michelsen: 13 matches in a row over 18.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Guerrieri 23% · A. Michelsen 77%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 79% | 21% | 84% |
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 39% |
Sample: 2,820 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 21.0in · 15 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Andrea Guerrieri | Alex Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 3 |
| 5 | Double faults | 1 |
| 73% | First serves in | 77% |
| 50% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 36% | Second-serve points won | 55% |
| 0/0 | Break points converted | 4/6 |
| 3/7 | Service games held | 8/8 |
| 46% | Service points won | 69% |
| 31% | Return points won | 54% |
| 34 | Total points won | 55 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Guerrieri | Tour | A. Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/24 | 16/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 70 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Andrea Guerrieri
- 18/10/26WMartin Damm Jr#107ATP Brussels · Q27:6 6:7 6:3
- 17/10/26WKimmer Coppejans#222ATP Brussels · Q17:6 6:4
- 14/10/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#214Challenger Olbia · R163:6 4:6
- 12/10/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#306Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:3
- 01/10/26LAugust Holmgren#258Challenger Porto 2 · R165:7 1:6
- 29/09/26WAnton Matusevich#307Challenger Porto 2 · R326:4 4:6 6:0
- 24/09/26LJesper De Jong#102Challenger Saint Tropez · R166:3 6:7 6:7
- 21/09/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#171Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:3 6:7 6:3
- 02/09/26LAlex de Minaur#8ATP US Open · R1282:6 2:6 4:6
- 27/08/26WAziz Dougaz#397ATP US Open · Q36:2 6:4
Alex Michelsen
- 10/10/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#38ATP Shanghai · R644:6 4:6
- 01/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Tokyo · R326:7 6:4 1:6
- 08/09/26LFrances Tiafoe#9ATP US Open · QF7:5 6:3 5:7 3:6 6:7
- 06/09/26WTomás Martín Etcheverry#29ATP US Open · R167:6 6:4 6:4
- 04/09/26WDaniel Merida#42ATP US Open · R327:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/09/26WBrandon Nakashima#17ATP US Open · R646:3 6:4 6:4
- 30/08/26WFederico Cina#135ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:1 6:0
- 16/08/26LTaylor Fritz#14ATP Cincinnati · R643:6 4:6
- 14/08/26WJesper De Jong#102ATP Cincinnati · R1286:4 6:4
- 07/08/26LDaniel Merida#42ATP Montreal · R324:6 7:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Guerrieri | A. Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1166% | 26–1563% |
| Clay | 24–1071% | 6–746% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 3–260% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Andrea Guerrieri
- 17/10/26WKimmer Coppejans#222ATP Brussels · Q17:6 6:4
- 18/10/26WMartin Damm Jr#107ATP Brussels · Q27:6 6:7 6:3
Alex Michelsen
First match in this tournament.