Damm Jr vs Guerrieri 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Damm Jr 56% · A. Guerrieri 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 65% | 34% |
Sample: 4,339 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.5out · 35 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Martin Damm Jr | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aces | 13 |
| 6 | Double faults | 5 |
| 66% | First serves in | 67% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 49% |
| 2/9 | Break points converted | 4/9 |
| 13/17 | Service games held | 14/16 |
| 62% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 38% |
| 105 | Total points won | 113 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Damm Jr | Tour | A. Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 33% | 38% | 43% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 1.00 | 0.20 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.37 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 27% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 24/43 | 10/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 69 | 69 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Martin Damm Jr
- 17/10/26WBuvaysar Gadamauri#254ATP Brussels · Q16:1 6:4
- 05/10/26LPavel Kotov#172ATP Shanghai · Q16:7 7:6 3:6
- 28/09/26LArthur Fils#10ATP Tokyo · Q16:2 1:6 1:6
- 26/09/26LHubert Hurkacz#30ATP Chengdu · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 24/09/26WShintaro Mochizuki#129ATP Chengdu · R326:1 6:4
- 01/09/26LFrances Tiafoe#9ATP US Open · R1284:6 6:4 6:3 3:6 4:6
- 27/08/26LFabian Marozsan#64ATP Winston Salem · R166:2 3:6 3:6
- 25/08/26WDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Winston Salem · R327:5 6:3
- 24/08/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#306ATP Winston Salem · R646:4 7:6
- 12/08/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#133ATP Cincinnati · Q14:6 6:7
Andrea Guerrieri
- 17/10/26WKimmer Coppejans#222ATP Brussels · Q17:6 6:4
- 14/10/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#214Challenger Olbia · R163:6 4:6
- 12/10/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#306Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:3
- 01/10/26LAugust Holmgren#258Challenger Porto 2 · R165:7 1:6
- 29/09/26WAnton Matusevich#307Challenger Porto 2 · R326:4 4:6 6:0
- 24/09/26LJesper De Jong#102Challenger Saint Tropez · R166:3 6:7 6:7
- 21/09/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#171Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:3 6:7 6:3
- 02/09/26LAlex de Minaur#8ATP US Open · R1282:6 2:6 4:6
- 27/08/26WAziz Dougaz#397ATP US Open · Q36:2 6:4
- 26/08/26WJoel Schwaerzler#173ATP US Open · Q23:6 6:4 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Damm Jr | A. Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 25–1957% | 20–1165% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 24–1071% |
| Grass | 7–558% | 2–250% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Martin Damm Jr
- 17/10/26WBuvaysar Gadamauri#254ATP Brussels · Q16:1 6:4
Andrea Guerrieri
- 17/10/26WKimmer Coppejans#222ATP Brussels · Q17:6 6:4