ATP Brussels250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Hanfmann vs Damm Jr 0:2: result and our tips

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Yannick HanfmannATP #59Elo 1948hard 1900
0:2final5:7 3:6
Martin Damm JrATP #107Elo 1842hard 1800

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: YesLost56%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 56%

A tie-break in recent matches: Hanfmann 12 of 20, Damm Jr 9 of 20 (tour average 39%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yannick Hanfmann53%
Martin Damm Jr47%

Elo: Y. Hanfmann 64% · M. Damm Jr 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Hanfmann32%
2:1 Y. Hanfmann20%
2:1 M. Damm Jr20%
2:0 M. Damm Jr28%

First set

Yannick Hanfmann52%
Martin Damm Jr48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 25.5 · 56%market (no margin): 49%

The 25.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
21.568%32%54%
22.562%38%46%
23.554%46%39%
24.547%53%38%
25.544%56%35%
26.541%60%30%
27.535%65%28%

Sample: 5,292 matches

Games handicap

Yannick Hanfmann −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes56%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 25.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yannick HanfmannMartin Damm Jr
8Aces11
3Double faults2
71%First serves in61%
69%First-serve points won88%
63%Second-serve points won71%
0/0Break points converted2/5
8/10Service games held11/11
67%Service points won82%
19%Return points won33%
47Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. HanfmannTourM. Damm Jr
Service points won67%62%68%
Return points won36%38%33%
Service games held84%76%86%
Breaks of serve19%24%16%
Aces per service game0.711.00
Double faults per game0.180.31
Sets with a tie-break29%28%
Tie-breaks won23/4025/45
Wins in straight sets67%79%
Matches in the sample5869

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yannick Hanfmann

Martin Damm Jr

Elo over the last year

Yannick HanfmannMartin Damm Jr

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. HanfmannM. Damm Jr
Hard court15–1256%24–2055%
Clay14–961%7–654%
Grass4–450%7–558%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yannick Hanfmann

First match in this tournament.

Martin Damm Jr