Challenger CaliChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Hardt vs Comesana 0:2: result and our tips

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Nick HardtATP #297Elo 1608clay 1616
0:2final3:6 5:7
Francisco ComesanaATP #130Elo 1784clay 1789

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 64%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Hardt 15 of 20, Comesana 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: ComesanaWon77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Comesana won 3 of 3 head-to-head matches; Hardt lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Hardt 10 of 20, Comesana 11 of 20 (tour average 34%); Over 24.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nick Hardt22%
Francisco Comesana78%

Elo: N. Hardt 27% · F. Comesana 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Hardt12%
2:1 N. Hardt11%
2:1 F. Comesana22%
2:0 F. Comesana55%

First set

Nick Hardt29%
Francisco Comesana71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%76%
18.563%37%68%
19.555%45%59%
20.548%52%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.537%63%40%
23.534%66%36%

Sample: 2,750 matches

Games handicap

Francisco Comesana −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Nick HardtFrancisco Comesana
1Aces7
3Double faults4
55%First serves in59%
52%First-serve points won72%
44%Second-serve points won48%
3/3Break points converted5/11
5/10Service games held8/11
49%Service points won62%
38%Return points won51%
62Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. HardtTourF. Comesana
Service points won58%62%63%
Return points won42%38%38%
Service games held70%76%78%
Breaks of serve31%24%23%
Aces per service game0.160.48
Double faults per game0.390.26
Sets with a tie-break10%17%
Tie-breaks won5/710/23
Wins in straight sets50%55%
Matches in the sample2949

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nick Hardt

Francisco Comesana

Elo over the last year

Nick HardtFrancisco Comesana

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. HardtF. Comesana
Hard court0–20%5–1033%
Clay16–1159%17–1652%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

N. Hardt 0–3 F. Comesana

  • 13/10/26Winner: Francisco Comesana3:6 6:4 2:6
  • 01/08/24Winner: Francisco Comesana7:6 4:6 4:6
  • 02/10/23Winner: Francisco Comesana5:7 6:0 2:6