Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Comesana vs Meligeni Alves 2:0: result and our tips

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Francisco ComesanaATP #125Elo 1776clay 1781
2:0final6:1 6:4
Felipe Meligeni AlvesATP #453Elo 1681clay 1697

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Meligeni Alves: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in 4 of their 4 head-to-head matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Meligeni Alves: 9 matches in a row under 23.5 games

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Meligeni Alves: 9 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Meligeni Alves: 6 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Francisco Comesana66%
Felipe Meligeni Alves34%

Elo: F. Comesana 62% · F. Meligeni Alves 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Comesana44%
2:1 F. Comesana23%
2:1 F. Meligeni Alves15%
2:0 F. Meligeni Alves19%

First set

Francisco Comesana62%
Felipe Meligeni Alves38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%27%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.552%48%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,419 matches

Games handicap

Francisco Comesana −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Francisco ComesanaFelipe Meligeni Alves
0Aces1
2Double faults1
60%First serves in60%
72%First-serve points won52%
54%Second-serve points won42%
4/7Break points converted1/4
8/9Service games held4/8
65%Service points won48%
52%Return points won35%
64Total points won44

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. ComesanaTourF. Meligeni Alves
Service points won63%62%61%
Return points won37%38%40%
Service games held78%76%75%
Breaks of serve22%24%27%
Aces per service game0.510.32
Double faults per game0.250.15
Sets with a tie-break18%15%
Tie-breaks won10/236/11
Wins in straight sets55%69%
Matches in the sample4833

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Francisco Comesana

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Elo over the last year

Francisco ComesanaFelipe Meligeni Alves

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. ComesanaF. Meligeni Alves
Hard court5–1229%2–340%
Clay15–1550%14–1352%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

F. Comesana 3–1 F. Meligeni Alves

  • 25/02/25Winner: Francisco Comesana7:6 7:6
  • 22/11/24Winner: Francisco Comesana6:3 6:4
  • 24/10/22Winner: Felipe Meligeni Alves2:6 0:6
  • 25/06/22Winner: Francisco Comesana6:3 6:2

Road through the tournament

Francisco Comesana

Felipe Meligeni Alves