Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Seyboth Wild vs Meligeni Alves 2:0: result and our tips

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Thiago Seyboth WildATP #136Elo 1834clay 1842
2:0final6:1 6:4
Felipe Meligeni AlvesATP #453Elo 1689clay 1706

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Seyboth WildWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Seyboth Wild: 9 matches in a row winning the first set; Seyboth Wild won the first set in 17 of the last 20 matches, Meligeni Alves lost the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Seyboth WildWon72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Seyboth Wild: 9 wins in a row; Seyboth Wild won 9 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Meligeni Alves: 8 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 16 of 20, Meligeni Alves 14 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 12 of 20, Meligeni Alves 13 of 20 (tour average 41%); Meligeni Alves: 5 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Seyboth Wild72%
Felipe Meligeni Alves28%

Elo: T. Seyboth Wild 69% · F. Meligeni Alves 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Seyboth Wild49%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild23%
2:1 F. Meligeni Alves13%
2:0 F. Meligeni Alves15%

First set

Thiago Seyboth Wild66%
Felipe Meligeni Alves34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.550%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 3,536 matches

Games handicap

Thiago Seyboth Wild −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Thiago Seyboth WildFelipe Meligeni Alves
3Aces2
2Double faults3
69%First serves in62%
88%First-serve points won55%
53%Second-serve points won58%
3/7Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held5/8
77%Service points won56%
44%Return points won23%
59Total points won39

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Seyboth WildTourF. Meligeni Alves
Service points won66%62%61%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held84%76%75%
Breaks of serve29%24%27%
Aces per service game0.510.32
Double faults per game0.190.15
Sets with a tie-break10%16%
Tie-breaks won6/126/11
Wins in straight sets80%73%
Matches in the sample5231

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Elo over the last year

Thiago Seyboth WildFelipe Meligeni Alves

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Seyboth WildF. Meligeni Alves
Hard court2–340%2–340%
Clay33–1470%13–1252%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Felipe Meligeni Alves

See also