Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves 0:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 58%
Meligeni Alves: 9 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Aguilar Cardozo 13 of 20, Meligeni Alves 15 of 20 (tour average 60%)
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.561%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Meligeni Alves: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 41%
Meligeni Alves: 6 matches in a row under 19.5 games; Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Aguilar Cardozo 8 of 20, Meligeni Alves 14 of 20 (tour average 41%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. Aguilar Cardozo 52% · F. Meligeni Alves 49%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 25% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 42% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,539 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Match stats
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Felipe Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 1 |
| 3 | Double faults | 0 |
| 56% | First serves in | 69% |
| 47% | First-serve points won | 78% |
| 27% | Second-serve points won | 63% |
| 0/4 | Break points converted | 4/8 |
| 1/5 | Service games held | 4/4 |
| 38% | Service points won | 73% |
| 27% | Return points won | 62% |
| 20 | Total points won | 40 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | Tour | F. Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.12 | 0.32 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/12 | 6/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 32 | 32 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 08/10/26LLautaro Midon#206Challenger Antofagasta · R166:7 6:2 6:7
- 06/10/26WNicolas Villalon Valdes#712Challenger Antofagasta · R326:2 7:5
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 0:6 6:3
- 04/10/26WSantiago De la Fuente#719Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:1 6:7 6:0
- 26/09/26LAlex Barrena#224Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · SF4:6 3:6
- 25/09/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF6:2 6:4
- 23/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#125Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R167:5 6:7 6:4
- 22/09/26WCarlos Maria Zarate#352Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:2 6:1
- 21/09/26WFederico Aguilar CardozoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:4 7:5
- 21/09/26WMateo Del PinoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:1 6:2
Felipe Meligeni Alves
- 09/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#136Challenger Antofagasta · QF1:6 4:6
- 07/10/26WNick Hardt#281Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 6:1
- 30/09/26LGustavo Heide#116Challenger Curitiba · R163:6 4:6
- 29/09/26WCarlos Maria Zarate#352Challenger Curitiba · R326:4 6:2
- 08/09/26LHugo Dellien#128Challenger Genoa · R323:6 2:6
- 02/09/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#375Challenger Manacor · R325:7 4:6
- 24/08/26LDalibor Svrcina#126ATP US Open · Q13:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LMoise Kouame#201Challenger Cancun · R321:6 4:6
- 18/08/26WDali Blanch#325Challenger Cancun · Q26:7 7:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | F. Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 2–340% |
| Clay | 21–1264% | 13–1350% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
J. Aguilar Cardozo 0–1 F. Meligeni Alves
- 31/03/26Winner: Felipe Meligeni Alves6:3 0:6 0:2